-3.5(-110)
SPREAD
+4.5(-110)
TOTAL · 51.5
O 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)-180
MONEYLINEAF 64%
+160
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | SOS Played | -0.04 | #87 | |
| — | SOS Remaining | -0.13 | #118 | |
| Offense | ||||
| — | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.17 | #118 | |
| — | EPA / Play | +0.04 | #82 | |
| — | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #104 | |
| — | Success Rate | 35.4% | #105 | |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| — | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #50 | |
| — | EPA / Play | +0.11 | #75 | |
| — | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #58 | |
| — | Success Rate | 46.5% | #107 | |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 AF Offense | vs |  USU Defense | ||
| — | EPA / Pass | +0.09 | #57 | |
| — | EPA / Rush | +0.13 | #94 | |
| — | Available Yards % | 45.0% | #68 | |
| — | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #58 | |
| — | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #101 | |
| — | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.1% | #54 | |
| — | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #89 | |
| AF Defense | vs | USU Offense | ||
| — | EPA / Pass | +0.06 | #82 | |
| — | EPA / Rush | +0.01 | #80 | |
| — | Available Yards % | 32.3% | #110 | |
| — | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | T-#57 | |
| — | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #53 | |
| — | 3rd/4th Down Success | 21.4% | #128 | |
| — | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 9.6 | #133 | |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| — | Sacks Taken | 6.0 | T-#135 | |
| — | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 | |
| — | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#73 | |
| — | Turnovers | 0.5 | T-#33 | |
| — | Penalties | 11.0 | T-#132 | |
| — | Penalty Yards | 72.5 | #114 | |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| — | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#48 | |
| — | INTs | 1.0 | T-#22 | |
| — | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#65 | |
| — | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#48 | |
| — | Penalties Drawn | 6.0 | T-#57 | |
| — | Penalty Yds Drawn | 58.5 | #46 | |
| Record | ||||
| 0-0 | Last Year Record (2024) | 0-0 | ||
| T-#87 | 5-7 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 10-3 | T-#3 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Troy Calhoun | Head Coach | Bronco Mendenhall | ||
| #3 | 20 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#90 |
| #51 | 139-97 | Career Record | 146-95 | #46 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Josh Johnson | QB | Bryson Barnes | ||
| — | EPA / Att | +0.13 | #88 | |
| — | Success Rate | 43.3% | #76 | |
| — | Explosiveness | 1.18 | #106 | |
| — | Sack Rate | 13.0% | #127 | |
| — | Rush EPA | +0.17 | #85 | |
| — | Last 8 · EPA / Att | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 93.5thWR | Cade Harris+43.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Braden Pegan+49.0 | 95.4thWR |
| #22TE | Bruin Fleischmann+27.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Miles Davis+34.4 | 96.2thRB |
| 92.2thLB | Isaac Hubert+14.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Noah Avinger+23.7 | 98.5thDB |
| 82.7thDB | Roger Jones Jr.+9.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bronson Olevao Jr.+19.4 | 97.4thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#128 | 0 | 4★ Players | 1 | T-#112 |
| #138 | 8 | 3★ Players | 36 | T-#99 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||