+7.5(-110)
SPREAD
-7(-110)
TOTAL · 45.5
O 45.5(-110)U 47(-110)
U 47(-110)+220
MONEYLINEUCF 71%
-240
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #85 | -0.04 | SOS Played | -0.15 | #114 |
| #76 | -0.01 | SOS Remaining | +0.06 | #61 |
| Offense | ||||
| #123 | -0.25 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.21 | #114 |
| #95 | +0.01 | EPA / Play | +0.16 | #53 |
| #74 | 5.6 | Yards / Play | 6.8 | #29 |
| #110 | 35.8% | Success Rate | 40.0% | #80 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #49 | -0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.21 | #16 |
| #87 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.00 | #41 |
| #87 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #26 |
| #96 | 45.8% | Success Rate | 38.2% | #49 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UNC Offense | vs |  UCF Defense | ||
| #74 | +0.10 | EPA / Pass | -0.20 | #14 |
| #103 | -0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.18 | #103 |
| #114 | 32.9% | Available Yards % | 43.7% | #59 |
| #50 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 23 | #8 |
| #75 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | -0.08 | #35 |
| T-#100 | 35.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.3% | T-#26 |
| #113 | 8.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #68 |
| UNC Defense | vs | UCF Offense | ||
| #87 | +0.22 | EPA / Pass | +0.47 | #13 |
| #60 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | -0.15 | #122 |
| #80 | 48.8% | Available Yards % | 57.0% | #24 |
| #25 | Own 26 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #89 |
| #63 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | -0.11 | #114 |
| T-#109 | 50.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 52.9% | #21 |
| #7 | 8.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.9 | #128 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#23 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 2.0 | T-#62 |
| T-#42 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#106 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#106 |
| T-#83 | 1.5 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#45 |
| T-#21 | 4.0 | Penalties | 9.0 | T-#125 |
| T-#42 | 40.0 | Penalty Yards | 80.0 | T-#123 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#114 | 0.5 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#57 |
| T-#12 | 1.5 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#30 |
| T-#78 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#78 |
| T-#42 | 1.5 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#63 |
| T-#90 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 7.0 | T-#37 |
| #75 | 50.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 60.0 | T-#43 |
| Record | ||||
| 0-0 | Last Year Record (2024) | 0-0 | ||
| T-#84 | 5-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-8 | T-#118 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Bill Belichick | Head Coach | Scott Frost | ||
| T-#90 | 2 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#90 |
| T-#118 | 4-8 | Career Record | 40-45 | #92 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Giovanni Lopez | QB | Tayven Jackson | ||
| #105 | +0.08 | EPA / Att | +0.66 | #9 |
| #88 | 42.3% | Success Rate | 48.9% | #46 |
| #59 | 1.53 | Explosiveness | 1.90 | #8 |
| #64 | 3.7% | Sack Rate | 6.3% | #99 |
| #71 | +0.28 | Rush EPA | +0.57 | #25 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.4thWR | Jordan Shipp+40.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Jaden Nixon+24.4 | 91.1thRB |
| 70.0thWR | Kobe Paysour+16.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Duane Thomas Jr.+20.2 | 74.9thWR |
| 97.5thDL | Melkart Abou Jaoude+15.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Phillip Dunnam+17.3 | 95.0thDB |
| 95.0thLB | Andrew Simpson+15.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Malachi Lawrence+15.4 | 97.1thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#34 | 17 | 4★ Players | 15 | T-#37 |
| T-#57 | 49 | 3★ Players | 39 | T-#91 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||