+6.5(-110)
SPREAD
-5.5(-110)
TOTAL · 43.5
O 43.5(-110)U 44(-110)
U 44(-110)+190
MONEYLINEBUF 68%
-210
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #19 | +0.21 | SOS Played | -0.04 | #87 |
| #86 | -0.07 | SOS Remaining | -0.19 | #122 |
| Offense | ||||
| #103 | -0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.05 | #78 |
| #125 | -0.12 | EPA / Play | +0.11 | #66 |
| #132 | 3.7 | Yards / Play | 5.5 | #85 |
| #127 | 30.2% | Success Rate | 36.6% | #106 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #28 | -0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.09 | #96 |
| #61 | +0.08 | EPA / Play | +0.18 | #94 |
| #97 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 6.4 | #96 |
| #85 | 43.7% | Success Rate | 41.7% | #69 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TROY Offense | vs |  BUF Defense | ||
| #119 | -0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.37 | #109 |
| #102 | -0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.01 | #52 |
| #131 | 22.8% | Available Yards % | 52.5% | #96 |
| #135 | Own 22 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #66 |
| #128 | -0.24 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #62 |
| T-#105 | 34.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 57.1% | T-#126 |
| #135 | 9.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.7 | #125 |
| TROY Defense | vs | BUF Offense | ||
| #52 | +0.06 | EPA / Pass | +0.26 | #42 |
| #77 | +0.09 | EPA / Rush | -0.09 | #109 |
| #57 | 43.1% | Available Yards % | 39.0% | #100 |
| #96 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #43 |
| #78 | +0.08 | Early Downs EPA | +0.15 | #37 |
| T-#89 | 44.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 30.8% | T-#119 |
| #96 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.0 | #19 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#127 | 4.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.5 | T-#47 |
| T-#131 | 2.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#42 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#106 |
| T-#106 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 1.5 | T-#83 |
| T-#88 | 7.0 | Penalties | 4.0 | T-#21 |
| T-#91 | 58.5 | Penalty Yards | 43.5 | #54 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#57 | 2.0 | Sacks | 2.5 | T-#40 |
| T-#71 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.5 | T-#71 |
| T-#9 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#44 |
| T-#42 | 1.5 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#63 |
| T-#90 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 4.5 | T-#104 |
| T-#85 | 47.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 26.0 | #127 |
| Record | ||||
| 0-0 | Last Year Record (2024) | 0-0 | ||
| T-#10 | 10-4 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-7 | T-#114 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Gerad Parker | Head Coach | Pete Lembo | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| #115 | 12-20 | Career Record | 47-40 | #66 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Tucker Kilcrease | QB | Ta'Quan Roberson | ||
| #123 | -0.10 | EPA / Att | +0.28 | #69 |
| #128 | 27.6% | Success Rate | 44.4% | #74 |
| #128 | 1.10 | Explosiveness | 1.44 | #84 |
| #128 | 12.1% | Sack Rate | 1.2% | #13 |
| #109 | +0.06 | Rush EPA | +0.50 | #34 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.9thWR | Tray Taylor+42.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Victor Snow+49.5 | 95.6thWR |
| 76.5thWR | Peyton Higgins+21.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Nik McMillan+41.6 | 92.1thWR |
| 98.6thDB | Jaquez White+24.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Red Murdock+16.7 | 95.7thLB |
| #19DL | Donnie Smith+19.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mitchell Gonser+16.1 | 95.2thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#88 | 4 | 4★ Players | 1 | T-#112 |
| T-#108 | 32 | 3★ Players | 47 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||