+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-110)
TOTAL · 57
O 57(-110)
U 57.5(-110)
U 57.5(-110)+130
MONEYLINEDUKE 57%
-130
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #81 | -0.03 | SOS Played | +0.06 | #51 |
| #35 | +0.13 | SOS Remaining | +0.00 | #71 |
| Offense | ||||
| #43 | +0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #80 |
| #36 | +0.21 | EPA / Play | +0.07 | #77 |
| #53 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #37 |
| #53 | 43.8% | Success Rate | 45.0% | #44 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #83 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.01 | #79 |
| #82 | +0.13 | EPA / Play | +0.21 | #100 |
| #103 | 6.5 | Yards / Play | 6.3 | #95 |
| #21 | 35.0% | Success Rate | 39.3% | #55 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 NCSU Offense | vs |  DUKE Defense | ||
| #22 | +0.38 | EPA / Pass | +0.58 | #130 |
| #69 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | -0.08 | #27 |
| #54 | 49.2% | Available Yards % | 56.3% | #112 |
| #61 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 36 | #128 |
| #47 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.12 | #91 |
| #60 | 43.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 43.3% | #80 |
| #104 | 7.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.2 | #17 |
| NCSU Defense | vs | DUKE Offense | ||
| #68 | +0.14 | EPA / Pass | +0.18 | #58 |
| #91 | +0.13 | EPA / Rush | -0.12 | #116 |
| #77 | 48.1% | Available Yards % | 58.4% | #20 |
| #52 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #96 |
| #39 | -0.07 | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #54 |
| #105 | 48.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.9% | #66 |
| #42 | 7.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.0 | #25 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#19 | 0.7 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#23 |
| T-#32 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#75 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 2.0 | T-#133 |
| T-#16 | 0.3 | Turnovers | 3.0 | T-#128 |
| T-#66 | 6.0 | Penalties | 7.5 | T-#101 |
| #86 | 57.3 | Penalty Yards | 77.0 | T-#120 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#109 | 0.7 | Sacks | 2.5 | T-#40 |
| T-#30 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#106 |
| T-#78 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#44 |
| T-#63 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.5 | T-#98 |
| T-#37 | 7.0 | Penalties Drawn | 7.5 | T-#27 |
| #37 | 62.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 75.5 | T-#12 |
| Record | ||||
| 0-0 | Last Year Record (2024) | 0-0 | ||
| T-#50 | 7-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 7-6 | T-#50 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Doeren | Head Coach | Manny Diaz | ||
| #5 | 14 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| #42 | 118-74 | Career Record | 39-24 | #39 |
| Situation | ||||
| 9 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| CJ Bailey | QB | Darian Mensah | ||
| #46 | +0.39 | EPA / Att | +0.45 | #33 |
| #47 | 48.9% | Success Rate | 51.3% | #40 |
| #75 | 1.47 | Explosiveness | 1.50 | #70 |
| #11 | 1.1% | Sack Rate | 1.7% | #21 |
| #53 | +0.37 | Rush EPA | -0.23 | #122 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 93.6thWR | Terrell Anderson+43.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Cooper Barkate+64.3 | #16WR |
| 85.5thWR | Wesley Grimes+31.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Nate Sheppard+38.5 | #20RB |
| T-#23LB | Caden Fordham+21.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Luke Mergott+18.6 | 97.1thLB |
| 96.4thDB | Devon Marshall+19.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Chandler Rivers+17.9 | 95.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#31 | 18 | 4★ Players | 7 | T-#62 |
| T-#50 | 51 | 3★ Players | 67 | T-#6 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||