+20(-110)
SPREAD
-19.5(-110)
TOTAL · 50
O 50(-110)U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)+800
MONEYLINEBAY 92%
-1100
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | +0.48 | SOS Played | +0.06 | T-#56 |
| #80 | -0.05 | SOS Remaining | +0.00 | #65 |
| Offense | ||||
| #128 | -0.26 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #84 |
| #137 | -0.60 | EPA / Play | -0.01 | #96 |
| #133 | 3.1 | Yards / Play | 4.5 | #109 |
| #137 | 12.7% | Success Rate | 38.8% | #77 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #29 | -0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.16 | #21 |
| #39 | -0.00 | EPA / Play | -0.04 | #29 |
| #125 | 7.7 | Yards / Play | 5.1 | #42 |
| #83 | 43.5% | Success Rate | 38.7% | #47 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 LT Offense | vs |  BAY Defense | ||
| #137 | -0.77 | EPA / Pass | +0.01 | #37 |
| #132 | -0.39 | EPA / Rush | -0.10 | #32 |
| #134 | 14.6% | Available Yards % | 43.4% | #58 |
| #72 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #83 |
| #137 | -0.58 | Early Downs EPA | -0.22 | #14 |
| T-#129 | 18.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 52.6% | T-#109 |
| #123 | 8.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.8 | #34 |
| LT Defense | vs | BAY Offense | ||
| #35 | -0.01 | EPA / Pass | +0.21 | #53 |
| #57 | +0.01 | EPA / Rush | -0.29 | #127 |
| #113 | 60.4% | Available Yards % | 45.2% | #71 |
| #137 | Own 45 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 24 | #124 |
| #57 | +0.04 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #93 |
| T-#98 | 50.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 39.3% | #73 |
| #94 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #49 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#136 | 7.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#23 |
| T-#76 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#76 |
| T-#124 | 2.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#91 |
| T-#121 | 3.0 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#96 |
| T-#30 | 5.0 | Penalties | 5.0 | T-#30 |
| T-#61 | 50.0 | Penalty Yards | 40.0 | T-#39 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#4 | 5.0 | Sacks | 5.0 | T-#4 |
| T-#1 | 3.0 | INTs | 3.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#12 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#78 |
| T-#1 | 4.0 | Takeaways | 3.0 | T-#6 |
| T-#7 | 10.0 | Penalties Drawn | 6.0 | T-#73 |
| T-#3 | 101.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 47.0 | T-#82 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 8-5 | Last Year Record (2025) | 5-7 | T-#83 |
| T-#13 | 4-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-1 | T-#13 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Sonny Cumbie | Head Coach | Dave Aranda | ||
| T-#30 | 5 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#15 |
| #107 | 21-34 | Career Record | 36-37 | T-#86 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 270 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Blake Baker | QB | Nate Bennett | ||
| #95 | +0.17 | EPA / Att | +0.35 | #56 |
| #113 | 37.1% | Success Rate | 45.7% | #73 |
| #5 | 2.05 | Explosiveness | 1.62 | #52 |
| #127 | 16.7% | Sack Rate | 2.7% | #36 |
| #104 | -0.09 | Rush EPA | +1.29 | #2 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #22WR | Jalen Mickens+33.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Gavin Freeman+35.9 | #17WR |
| #6TE | Eli Finley+24.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Louis Brown IV+19.4 | 89.3thWR |
| #4LB | Alonzo Jackson Jr.+15.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Devon Jordan+11.3 | 98.2thDB |
| T-#16DB | Jordan McRae+14.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ryan Davis+7.3 | 96.2thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#120 | 1 | 4★ Players | 17 | T-#38 |
| T-#95 | 49 | 3★ Players | 67 | T-#22 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 11 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 8 out | ||
5 in · 11 out | DEF Transfers | 18 in · 17 out | ||
| 59% | OFF Returning | 61% | ||
| 36% | DEF Returning | 62% | ||