-5(-110)
SPREAD
+5.5(-110)
TOTAL · 62.5
O 62.5(-110)
U 64.5(-110)
U 64.5(-110)-200
MONEYLINEND 67%
+185
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #10 | +0.29 | SOS Played | +0.14 | #38 |
| #35 | +0.17 | SOS Remaining | +0.29 | #6 |
| Offense | ||||
| #13 | +0.25 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.35 | #5 |
| #51 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.42 | #6 |
| #36 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 8.7 | #2 |
| #37 | 45.5% | Success Rate | 55.1% | #7 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #78 | -0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.05 | #64 |
| #97 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.15 | #88 |
| #69 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #81 |
| #76 | 43.1% | Success Rate | 44.9% | #91 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 ND Offense | vs |  ARK Defense | ||
| #61 | +0.19 | EPA / Pass | +0.08 | #50 |
| #46 | +0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.22 | #113 |
| #46 | 50.8% | Available Yards % | 49.7% | #81 |
| #34 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | T-#14 |
| #37 | +0.13 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #55 |
| #33 | 47.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 53.5% | #124 |
| #34 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #85 |
| ND Defense | vs | ARK Offense | ||
| #111 | +0.36 | EPA / Pass | +0.38 | #18 |
| #42 | +0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.46 | #2 |
| #59 | 44.5% | Available Yards % | 66.1% | #10 |
| #108 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #108 |
| #96 | +0.13 | Early Downs EPA | +0.36 | #3 |
| #43 | 37.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 58.6% | #8 |
| #12 | 8.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #51 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#68 | 2.0 | Sacks Taken | 0.3 | T-#3 |
| T-#56 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 1.3 | T-#116 |
| T-#94 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.7 | T-#94 |
| T-#78 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#112 |
| T-#22 | 4.3 | Penalties | 7.3 | T-#98 |
| #15 | 30.3 | Penalty Yards | 65.7 | T-#104 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#105 | 1.0 | Sacks | 2.7 | T-#26 |
| T-#36 | 1.0 | INTs | 1.3 | T-#18 |
| T-#93 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#93 |
| T-#72 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#49 |
| T-#11 | 8.7 | Penalties Drawn | 5.7 | T-#80 |
| #23 | 70.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 46.3 | #98 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#62 | 6-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-8 | T-#118 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Marcus Freeman | Head Coach | Sam Pittman | ||
| T-#26 | 6 | Seasons at School | 6 | T-#125 |
| #9 | 43-12 | Career Record | 32-34 | T-#87 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| C.J. Carr | QB | Taylen Green | ||
| #47 | +0.37 | EPA / Att | +0.47 | #29 |
| #39 | 50.7% | Success Rate | 53.7% | #20 |
| #29 | 1.67 | Explosiveness | 1.63 | #36 |
| #108 | 6.4% | Sack Rate | 2.4% | #36 |
| #57 | +0.38 | Rush EPA | +0.62 | #16 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #7RB | Jeremiyah Love+48.9 | Playmaker · PPA | O'Mega Blake+61.0 | #25WR |
| 92.5thWR | Jordan Faison+42.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Raylen Sharpe+38.7 | 90.7thWR |
| 98.8thDB | Leonard Moore+25.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Quincy Rhodes Jr.+18.9 | #21DL |
| 96.1thDB | Brauntae Johnson+19.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Julian Neal+17.9 | 95.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#20 | 2 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#20 |
| #1 | 57 | 4★ Players | 22 | T-#27 |
| #114 | 29 | 3★ Players | 37 | T-#95 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||