+6.5(-110)
SPREAD
-6.5(-110)
TOTAL · 59.5
O 59.5(-110)U 61.5(-110)
U 61.5(-110)+205
MONEYLINELOU 68%
-215
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #20 | +0.21 | SOS Played | +0.06 | #66 |
| #65 | +0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.17 | #36 |
| Offense | ||||
| #4 | +0.31 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #51 |
| #11 | +0.32 | EPA / Play | +0.13 | #56 |
| #27 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #57 |
| #22 | 48.9% | Success Rate | 40.6% | #80 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #70 | -0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.34 | #7 |
| #85 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | -0.19 | #3 |
| #87 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 5.0 | #22 |
| #62 | 41.4% | Success Rate | 36.8% | #24 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UVA Offense | vs |  LOU Defense | ||
| #22 | +0.36 | EPA / Pass | -0.39 | #3 |
| #12 | +0.29 | EPA / Rush | +0.01 | #45 |
| #9 | 62.4% | Available Yards % | 33.9% | #14 |
| #10 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #71 |
| #37 | +0.13 | Early Downs EPA | -0.14 | #11 |
| #5 | 59.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 28.6% | #10 |
| #5 | 5.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #95 |
| UVA Defense | vs | LOU Offense | ||
| #75 | +0.16 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #49 |
| #90 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.02 | #88 |
| #32 | 39.2% | Available Yards % | 42.3% | #88 |
| #58 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #6 |
| #105 | +0.16 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #67 |
| #23 | 34.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 43.5% | T-#57 |
| #97 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.0 | #114 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#12 | 0.8 | Sacks Taken | 2.7 | T-#100 |
| T-#84 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#25 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.7 | T-#91 |
| T-#40 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#40 |
| T-#45 | 5.3 | Penalties | 6.7 | T-#84 |
| #28 | 37.5 | Penalty Yards | 65.3 | #105 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#55 | 2.0 | Sacks | 2.7 | T-#29 |
| T-#55 | 0.8 | INTs | 2.0 | T-#3 |
| T-#23 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#7 |
| T-#39 | 1.5 | Takeaways | 3.0 | #1 |
| T-#118 | 4.3 | Penalties Drawn | 8.0 | T-#13 |
| #108 | 41.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 58.7 | #47 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 9-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-9 | T-#126 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tony Elliott | Head Coach | Jeff Brohm | ||
| T-#36 | 5 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#50 |
| #95 | 22-26 | Career Record | 94-56 | #37 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Chandler Morris | QB | Miller Moss | ||
| #37 | +0.40 | EPA / Att | +0.29 | #71 |
| #27 | 52.0% | Success Rate | 48.5% | #52 |
| #85 | 1.44 | Explosiveness | 1.50 | #66 |
| #18 | 1.9% | Sack Rate | 5.1% | #77 |
| #1 | +1.08 | Rush EPA | +0.60 | #14 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.5thWR | Trell Harris+46.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Chris Bell+57.1 | 97.2thWR |
| 89.8thWR | Cam Ross+36.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Keyjuan Brown+26.7 | 92.2thRB |
| 98.4thDL | Mitchell Melton+17.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Antonio Watts+22.3 | #19LB |
| 94.4thDB | Ja'Son Prevard+16.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | TJ Quinn+20.4 | 97.9thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| T-#6 | 67 | 3★ Players | 45 | T-#74 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||