-11.5(-110)
SPREAD
+13.5(-110)
TOTAL · 51.5
O 51.5(-110)U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)-490
MONEYLINETTU 83%
+400
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #83 | +0.01 | SOS Played | -0.08 | #117 |
| #67 | +0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.10 | #68 |
| Offense | ||||
| #39 | +0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.17 | #114 |
| #23 | +0.27 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #95 |
| #16 | 7.1 | Yards / Play | 5.1 | #110 |
| #21 | 48.9% | Success Rate | 32.7% | #128 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #2 | -0.39 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.20 | #27 |
| #4 | -0.19 | EPA / Play | -0.07 | #13 |
| #5 | 4.4 | Yards / Play | 4.5 | #8 |
| #4 | 29.5% | Success Rate | 38.5% | #32 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TTU Offense | vs |  HOU Defense | ||
| #5 | +0.53 | EPA / Pass | -0.21 | #8 |
| #94 | -0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.02 | #51 |
| #20 | 58.5% | Available Yards % | 36.1% | #25 |
| #8 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #91 |
| #42 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.04 | #58 |
| #17 | 52.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 30.8% | T-#15 |
| #136 | 10.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #112 |
| TTU Defense | vs | HOU Offense | ||
| #18 | -0.12 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #47 |
| #1 | -0.29 | EPA / Rush | -0.10 | #122 |
| #5 | 26.8% | Available Yards % | 43.9% | #76 |
| #10 | Own 26 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #26 |
| #2 | -0.27 | Early Downs EPA | -0.03 | #107 |
| #18 | 31.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.9% | T-#60 |
| #55 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | T-#64 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#19 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 2.7 | T-#100 |
| T-#120 | 1.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#25 |
| T-#48 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#102 | 1.7 | Turnovers | 0.3 | T-#7 |
| #136 | 10.3 | Penalties | 4.7 | T-#27 |
| #134 | 87.3 | Penalty Yards | 39.3 | #30 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#43 | 2.3 | Sacks | 2.3 | T-#43 |
| T-#7 | 1.7 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#29 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#66 |
| #2 | 2.7 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#49 |
| T-#131 | 3.3 | Penalties Drawn | 4.0 | T-#121 |
| T-#132 | 23.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 27.3 | #128 |
| Record | ||||
| #2 | 12-2 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 9-4 | T-#13 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Joey McGuire | Head Coach | Willie Fritz | ||
| T-#36 | 5 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| #27 | 35-18 | Career Record | 86-65 | #60 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Behren Morton | QB | Conner Weigman | ||
| #8 | +0.59 | EPA / Att | +0.25 | #82 |
| #36 | 51.0% | Success Rate | 35.5% | #123 |
| #7 | 1.83 | Explosiveness | 1.80 | #8 |
| #7 | 1.0% | Sack Rate | 6.0% | #96 |
| #113 | -0.03 | Rush EPA | +0.38 | #51 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #4TE | Terrance Carter Jr.+40.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Amare Thomas+58.4 | 97.3thWR |
| #19RB | J'Koby Williams+39.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Tanner Koziol+48.3 | #1TE |
| #1LB | Jacob Rodriguez+31.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Will James+20.0 | 96.6thDB |
| #14DB | Brice Pollock+27.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Eddie Walls III+18.3 | #24DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#25 | 1 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#25 |
| #30 | 19 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#75 |
| T-#41 | 53 | 3★ Players | 54 | T-#38 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||