+11.5(-110)
SPREAD
-10.5(-110)
TOTAL · 56.5
O 56.5(-110)U 57.5(-110)
U 57.5(-110)+320
MONEYLINEFSU 78%
-360
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #65 | +0.05 | SOS Played | +0.32 | #3 |
| #17 | +0.25 | SOS Remaining | +0.11 | #62 |
| Offense | ||||
| #68 | -0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.26 | #4 |
| #70 | +0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.27 | #18 |
| #42 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 7.4 | #9 |
| #62 | 42.3% | Success Rate | 50.2% | #13 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #36 | -0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.29 | #11 |
| #25 | -0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.06 | #50 |
| #15 | 4.8 | Yards / Play | 5.1 | #28 |
| #15 | 35.3% | Success Rate | 39.8% | #39 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 PITT Offense | vs |  FSU Defense | ||
| #50 | +0.21 | EPA / Pass | +0.14 | #68 |
| #116 | -0.05 | EPA / Rush | -0.03 | #25 |
| #51 | 49.4% | Available Yards % | 39.9% | #34 |
| #13 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #81 |
| #47 | +0.09 | Early Downs EPA | -0.00 | #47 |
| T-#85 | 39.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.0% | #57 |
| #36 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #68 |
| PITT Defense | vs | FSU Offense | ||
| #53 | +0.08 | EPA / Pass | +0.18 | #56 |
| #8 | -0.12 | EPA / Rush | +0.33 | #8 |
| #14 | 32.9% | Available Yards % | 65.1% | #3 |
| #99 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #33 |
| #15 | -0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.17 | #27 |
| #45 | 38.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 53.0% | #13 |
| #5 | 8.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #37 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#106 | 2.8 | Sacks Taken | 1.5 | T-#46 |
| T-#111 | 1.3 | INTs Thrown | 1.3 | T-#111 |
| T-#69 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#98 |
| T-#109 | 1.8 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#115 |
| T-#123 | 8.5 | Penalties | 4.8 | T-#28 |
| #119 | 72.3 | Penalty Yards | 48.3 | #53 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#20 | 2.8 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#56 |
| T-#31 | 1.0 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#31 |
| T-#27 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#119 |
| T-#34 | 1.8 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#76 |
| T-#24 | 7.3 | Penalties Drawn | 7.5 | T-#20 |
| #15 | 71.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 60.3 | T-#41 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#28 | 8-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-7 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pat Narduzzi | Head Coach | Mike Norvell | ||
| #10 | 12 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#18 |
| #61 | 80-61 | Career Record | 76-50 | #47 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Mason Heintschel | QB | Thomas Castellanos | ||
| #2 | +0.75 | EPA / Att | +0.38 | #39 |
| #5 | 57.8% | Success Rate | 47.4% | #55 |
| #33 | 1.62 | Explosiveness | 1.89 | #3 |
| #64 | 4.3% | Sack Rate | 5.0% | #73 |
| #118 | -0.01 | Rush EPA | +0.40 | #50 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 86.5thWR | Kenny Johnson+31.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Duce Robinson+56.7 | 97.1thWR |
| 85.8thWR | Raphael Williams Jr.+31.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Micahi Danzy+43.0 | 93.1thWR |
| #2LB | Rasheem Biles+30.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Earl Little Jr.+20.9 | 97.2thDB |
| 97.5thLB | Kyle Louis+19.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Edwin Joseph+19.4 | 96.2thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#20 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 37 | #17 |
| T-#20 | 61 | 3★ Players | 33 | T-#104 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||