FINAL
Williams Stadium (VA)
+11.5(-110)
SPREAD
-10.5(-110)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)
U 48.5(-110)
U 48.5(-110)+340
MONEYLINELIB 80%
-400
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #135 | -0.18 | SOS Played | -0.03 | #102 |
| #101 | -0.08 | SOS Remaining | -0.14 | #120 |
| Offense | ||||
| #117 | -0.21 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.15 | #105 |
| #121 | -0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.00 | #111 |
| #119 | 5.0 | Yards / Play | 5.4 | #97 |
| #131 | 32.5% | Success Rate | 38.4% | #104 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #113 | +0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.02 | #86 |
| #48 | +0.07 | EPA / Play | +0.10 | #65 |
| #83 | 6.0 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #72 |
| #73 | 42.3% | Success Rate | 41.8% | #65 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| NMSU Offense | vs | LIB Defense | ||
| #76 | +0.11 | EPA / Pass | +0.07 | #48 |
| #137 | -0.27 | EPA / Rush | +0.13 | #83 |
| #106 | 39.6% | Available Yards % | 44.1% | #54 |
| #30 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #130 |
| #132 | -0.20 | Early Downs EPA | +0.03 | #60 |
| #50 | 44.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.6% | #80 |
| #120 | 8.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.2 | #125 |
| NMSU Defense | vs | LIB Offense | ||
| #109 | +0.28 | EPA / Pass | -0.00 | #108 |
| #14 | -0.08 | EPA / Rush | +0.00 | #105 |
| #85 | 49.6% | Available Yards % | 37.1% | #116 |
| #21 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #133 |
| #69 | +0.06 | Early Downs EPA | -0.02 | #107 |
| #86 | 43.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.4% | #113 |
| #117 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #92 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#123 | 3.3 | Sacks Taken | 3.0 | T-#113 |
| T-#60 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#64 |
| T-#108 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#126 |
| T-#98 | 1.5 | Turnovers | 1.8 | T-#115 |
| T-#82 | 6.5 | Penalties | 6.4 | T-#78 |
| #96 | 62.3 | Penalty Yards | 49.8 | #55 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#118 | 1.0 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#118 |
| T-#34 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#50 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.6 | T-#37 |
| T-#13 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 1.4 | T-#45 |
| #26 | 7.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.6 | T-#91 |
| #34 | 62.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 50.4 | #84 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#62 | 6-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 3-9 | T-#129 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tony Sanchez | Head Coach | Jamey Chadwell | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#50 |
| #126 | 27-57 | Career Record | 64-35 | #31 |
| Situation | ||||
| 12 days | Rest | 6 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Logan Fife | QB | Ethan Vasko | ||
| #57 | +0.31 | EPA / Att | +0.25 | #77 |
| #86 | 43.5% | Success Rate | 44.3% | #78 |
| #31 | 1.61 | Explosiveness | 1.64 | #25 |
| #104 | 6.3% | Sack Rate | 4.7% | #68 |
| #104 | +0.10 | Rush EPA | +0.24 | #76 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 87.7thWR | Donovan Faupel+33.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Evan Dickens+38.0 | #23RB |
| 73.9thWR | PJ Johnson III+19.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Donte Lee Jr.+22.9 | 78.2thWR |
| 97.8thDB | Bernock Iya+22.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Amarian Williams+12.3 | 88.2thDB |
| #20DL | Jamall Thompson Jr.+19.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Damond Harmon+12.0 | 87.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#102 | 2 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#102 |
| T-#123 | 24 | 3★ Players | 56 | T-#32 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||