+9.5(-110)
SPREAD
-9.5(-110)
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)+295
MONEYLINEFLA 78%
-360
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #25 | +0.15 | SOS Played | +0.37 | #1 |
| #16 | +0.24 | SOS Remaining | +0.26 | #13 |
| Offense | ||||
| #34 | +0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.11 | #32 |
| #45 | +0.16 | EPA / Play | +0.01 | #106 |
| #81 | 5.6 | Yards / Play | 5.4 | #93 |
| #46 | 44.5% | Success Rate | 40.0% | #88 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #48 | -0.13 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.13 | #50 |
| #64 | +0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.14 | #86 |
| #54 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #68 |
| #47 | 40.3% | Success Rate | 39.5% | #37 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MSST Offense | vs |  FLA Defense | ||
| #58 | +0.16 | EPA / Pass | +0.19 | #84 |
| #37 | +0.16 | EPA / Rush | +0.10 | #73 |
| #107 | 39.6% | Available Yards % | 42.5% | #44 |
| #47 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #111 |
| #75 | +0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.01 | #50 |
| #45 | 45.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 43.1% | #84 |
| #107 | 7.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #86 |
| MSST Defense | vs | FLA Offense | ||
| #61 | +0.10 | EPA / Pass | -0.01 | #109 |
| #71 | +0.09 | EPA / Rush | +0.04 | #84 |
| #47 | 43.2% | Available Yards % | 34.7% | #126 |
| #42 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #134 |
| #79 | +0.07 | Early Downs EPA | +0.07 | #56 |
| #51 | 39.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 29.7% | #131 |
| #93 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #91 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#113 | 3.0 | Sacks Taken | 2.2 | T-#85 |
| T-#40 | 0.6 | INTs Thrown | 1.4 | T-#127 |
| T-#51 | 0.4 | Fumbles Lost | 0.6 | T-#83 |
| T-#39 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#121 |
| T-#118 | 8.0 | Penalties | 6.8 | T-#87 |
| #129 | 77.6 | Penalty Yards | 56.8 | #83 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#97 | 1.4 | Sacks | 1.6 | T-#83 |
| T-#15 | 1.4 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#34 |
| T-#96 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#126 |
| T-#35 | 1.6 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#82 |
| T-#32 | 7.2 | Penalties Drawn | 7.0 | T-#36 |
| #53 | 57.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 54.6 | T-#66 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#28 | 8-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-7 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jeff Lebby | Head Coach | Billy Napier | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#125 |
| #130 | 7-18 | Career Record | 62-35 | #136 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Blake Shapen | QB | D.J. Lagway | ||
| #52 | +0.31 | EPA / Att | +0.07 | #118 |
| #92 | 43.0% | Success Rate | 39.7% | #114 |
| #18 | 1.67 | Explosiveness | 1.47 | #75 |
| #120 | 8.0% | Sack Rate | 5.2% | #78 |
| #127 | -0.12 | Rush EPA | +0.06 | #114 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #4WR | Brenen Thompson+75.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Vernell Brown III+28.5 | 83.3thWR |
| 89.7thWR | Anthony Evans III+36.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Jadan Baugh+28.3 | 93.3thRB |
| 97.7thDB | Brylan Lanier+21.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Devin Moore+12.6 | 88.9thDB |
| 94.3thDB | Kelley Jones+16.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bryce Thornton+12.2 | 88.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#9 |
| #24 | 26 | 4★ Players | 45 | T-#9 |
| #102 | 35 | 3★ Players | 27 | T-#117 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||