-6.5(-110)
SPREAD
+6.5(-110)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 55(-110)
U 55(-110)-230
MONEYLINEUSM 70%
+200
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #117 | -0.08 | SOS Played | -0.05 | #112 |
| #122 | -0.15 | SOS Remaining | -0.08 | #108 |
| Offense | ||||
| #68 | -0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.19 | #121 |
| #34 | +0.18 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #92 |
| #31 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #131 |
| #80 | 40.8% | Success Rate | 40.7% | #82 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #66 | -0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #83 |
| #45 | +0.06 | EPA / Play | +0.16 | #97 |
| #64 | 5.8 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #85 |
| #47 | 40.6% | Success Rate | 45.0% | #106 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 USM Offense | vs |  ARST Defense | ||
| #29 | +0.26 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #84 |
| #52 | +0.12 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #110 |
| #54 | 47.7% | Available Yards % | 48.5% | #84 |
| #40 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #32 |
| #47 | +0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #108 |
| #60 | 42.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.7% | T-#62 |
| #24 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #36 |
| USM Defense | vs | ARST Offense | ||
| #17 | -0.07 | EPA / Pass | +0.07 | #81 |
| #111 | +0.17 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #91 |
| #58 | 44.1% | Available Yards % | 42.8% | #86 |
| #31 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #61 |
| #13 | -0.10 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #109 |
| #120 | 47.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.4% | #62 |
| #29 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #101 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#25 | 1.3 | Sacks Taken | 2.6 | T-#109 |
| T-#22 | 0.6 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#68 |
| T-#46 | 0.4 | Fumbles Lost | 0.6 | T-#94 |
| T-#32 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.4 | T-#79 |
| T-#102 | 7.1 | Penalties | 7.3 | T-#105 |
| #87 | 58.0 | Penalty Yards | 63.4 | #107 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#21 | 2.7 | Sacks | 2.4 | T-#30 |
| #4 | 1.9 | INTs | 0.6 | T-#73 |
| T-#50 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#59 |
| #1 | 2.4 | Takeaways | 1.1 | T-#80 |
| #1 | 9.4 | Penalties Drawn | 8.3 | #7 |
| #1 | 80.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 78.0 | #3 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#87 | 5-7 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 8-5 | T-#28 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Charles Huff | Head Coach | Butch Jones | ||
| T-#90 | 1 | Seasons at School | 6 | T-#26 |
| #57 | 39-25 | Career Record | 110-91 | #65 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Braylon Braxton | QB | Jaylen Raynor | ||
| #47 | +0.32 | EPA / Att | +0.21 | #88 |
| #78 | 43.9% | Success Rate | 44.6% | #70 |
| #12 | 1.69 | Explosiveness | 1.37 | #108 |
| #57 | 4.3% | Sack Rate | 5.5% | #83 |
| #92 | +0.18 | Rush EPA | +0.21 | #83 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 87.3thWR | Elijah Metcalf+32.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Chauncy Cobb+42.4 | 92.6thWR |
| 81.7thWR | Carl Chester+26.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Corey Rucker+40.2 | 91.1thWR |
| #12DB | Josh Moten+28.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Demarcus Hendricks+17.7 | 98.3thDL |
| 97.4thDB | Ian Foster+21.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ethan Hassler+17.0 | 97.8thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 3 | T-#90 |
| #73 | 46 | 3★ Players | 63 | #18 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||