-2.5(-110)
SPREAD
+2.5(-110)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)-130
MONEYLINEAF 57%
+115
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #76 | +0.02 | SOS Played | +0.04 | #70 |
| #122 | -0.16 | SOS Remaining | +0.00 | #86 |
| Offense | ||||
| #53 | +0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.10 | #106 |
| #33 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | -0.01 | #115 |
| #77 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #105 |
| #33 | 45.5% | Success Rate | 37.0% | #118 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #137 | +0.22 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.07 | #113 |
| #137 | +0.40 | EPA / Play | +0.21 | #117 |
| #137 | 7.9 | Yards / Play | 6.7 | #126 |
| #136 | 51.1% | Success Rate | 45.4% | #114 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 AF Offense | vs |  CSU Defense | ||
| #34 | +0.23 | EPA / Pass | +0.26 | #113 |
| #24 | +0.18 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #101 |
| #15 | 56.5% | Available Yards % | 51.9% | #110 |
| #106 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #78 |
| #34 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #113 |
| #7 | 50.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 47.5% | #117 |
| #10 | 6.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #102 |
| AF Defense | vs | CSU Offense | ||
| #137 | +0.49 | EPA / Pass | -0.03 | #118 |
| #137 | +0.32 | EPA / Rush | +0.01 | #105 |
| #136 | 61.1% | Available Yards % | 38.5% | #112 |
| #68 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #121 |
| #137 | +0.31 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #112 |
| #137 | 56.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.3% | #118 |
| #124 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.6 | #116 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#27 | 1.4 | Sacks Taken | 2.9 | T-#118 |
| T-#49 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 1.1 | T-#113 |
| T-#63 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#34 |
| T-#57 | 1.2 | Turnovers | 1.5 | T-#98 |
| T-#6 | 3.8 | Penalties | 5.8 | T-#56 |
| #6 | 31.9 | Penalty Yards | 57.0 | #86 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #136 | 0.7 | Sacks | 1.5 | T-#108 |
| T-#82 | 0.6 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#67 |
| T-#118 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.7 | T-#19 |
| T-#117 | 0.8 | Takeaways | 1.4 | T-#49 |
| T-#85 | 5.7 | Penalties Drawn | 7.5 | T-#10 |
| T-#95 | 47.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 66.8 | T-#10 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#87 | 5-7 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-8 | T-#118 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Troy Calhoun | Head Coach | Tyson Summers | ||
| #3 | 20 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#125 |
| #51 | 139-97 | Career Record | 5-18 | #134 |
| Situation | ||||
| 6 days | Rest | 6 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Josh Johnson | QB | Darius Curry | ||
| #6 | +0.50 | EPA / Att | +0.03 | #122 |
| #78 | 43.5% | Success Rate | 38.9% | #116 |
| #1 | 2.18 | Explosiveness | 1.44 | #85 |
| #126 | 11.5% | Sack Rate | 4.4% | #57 |
| #91 | +0.16 | Rush EPA | -0.54 | #129 |
| — | Last 8 · EPA / Att | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 93.5thWR | Cade Harris+43.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Rocky Beers+25.6 | 94.5thTE |
| #22TE | Bruin Fleischmann+27.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Tommy Maher+16.6 | 70.6thWR |
| 92.2thLB | Isaac Hubert+14.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Lemondre Joe+20.1 | 96.7thDB |
| 82.7thDB | Roger Jones Jr.+9.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jace Bellah+19.3 | 96.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#128 | 0 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#75 |
| #138 | 8 | 3★ Players | 53 | T-#41 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||