FINAL
Aggie Memorial Stadium
+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-110)
TOTAL · 51.5
O 51.5(-110)
U 52.5(-110)
U 52.5(-110)+145
MONEYLINENMSU 61%
-155
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #128 | -0.10 | SOS Played | -0.06 | #112 |
| #124 | -0.16 | SOS Remaining | -0.21 | #128 |
| Offense | ||||
| #117 | -0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.27 | #132 |
| #108 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | -0.11 | #134 |
| #78 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 4.6 | #135 |
| #84 | 41.0% | Success Rate | 33.9% | #130 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #118 | +0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.09 | #51 |
| #89 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.03 | #32 |
| #113 | 6.5 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #60 |
| #87 | 43.5% | Success Rate | 41.6% | #61 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| MTSU Offense | vs | NMSU Defense | ||
| #85 | +0.05 | EPA / Pass | +0.03 | #44 |
| #120 | -0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.02 | #35 |
| #83 | 43.2% | Available Yards % | 44.5% | #54 |
| #120 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #94 |
| #87 | +0.01 | Early Downs EPA | -0.02 | #30 |
| T-#100 | 37.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.7% | #63 |
| #86 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #113 |
| MTSU Defense | vs | NMSU Offense | ||
| #120 | +0.29 | EPA / Pass | -0.13 | #127 |
| #36 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | -0.08 | #131 |
| #82 | 47.7% | Available Yards % | 37.9% | #114 |
| #70 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #36 |
| #81 | +0.08 | Early Downs EPA | -0.23 | #136 |
| #45 | 38.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.2% | #70 |
| #62 | 7.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.7 | #125 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#92 | 2.3 | Sacks Taken | 3.1 | #123 |
| T-#49 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 1.3 | T-#128 |
| T-#34 | 0.4 | Fumbles Lost | 0.7 | T-#106 |
| T-#41 | 1.1 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#125 |
| T-#101 | 7.0 | Penalties | 6.0 | T-#63 |
| #110 | 63.3 | Penalty Yards | 52.8 | #64 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#80 | 1.8 | Sacks | 1.3 | T-#116 |
| T-#56 | 0.8 | INTs | 1.4 | T-#9 |
| T-#103 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.7 | T-#19 |
| T-#86 | 1.1 | Takeaways | 2.1 | T-#8 |
| #133 | 4.0 | Penalties Drawn | 7.4 | T-#16 |
| #121 | 39.1 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 69.1 | #7 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#62 | 6-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 6-6 | T-#62 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Derek Mason | Head Coach | Tony Sanchez | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| #127 | 33-73 | Career Record | 27-57 | #126 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Roman Gagliano | QB | Adam Damante | ||
| #80 | +0.23 | EPA / Att | +0.07 | #118 |
| #113 | 39.8% | Success Rate | 44.8% | #65 |
| #20 | 1.63 | Explosiveness | 1.28 | #122 |
| #111 | 7.0% | Sack Rate | 7.9% | #114 |
| #56 | +0.30 | Rush EPA | -0.22 | #129 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 82.0thWR | Cam'ron Lacy+26.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Donovan Faupel+33.3 | 87.7thWR |
| 80.5thWR | Myles Butler+24.7 | Playmaker · PPA | PJ Johnson III+19.5 | 73.9thWR |
| 98.4thDL | Damonte Smith+18.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bernock Iya+22.0 | 97.8thDB |
| 94.4thDB | Juwon Gaston+16.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jamall Thompson Jr.+19.1 | #20DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#102 | 2 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#102 |
| T-#82 | 43 | 3★ Players | 24 | T-#123 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||