FINAL
University Stadium (NM)NEUTRAL
-3(-110)
SPREAD
+7.5(-110)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 55.5(-110)
U 55.5(-110)-160
MONEYLINEUNT 62%
+230
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #90 | -0.02 | SOS Played | -0.07 | #108 |
| #44 | +0.10 | SOS Remaining | +0.25 | #22 |
| Offense | ||||
| #5 | +0.22 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.08 | #97 |
| #2 | +0.35 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #88 |
| #2 | 7.7 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #68 |
| #3 | 52.1% | Success Rate | 41.6% | #72 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #58 | -0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.17 | #22 |
| #53 | +0.07 | EPA / Play | -0.10 | #3 |
| #52 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 4.8 | #8 |
| #73 | 42.5% | Success Rate | 35.8% | #8 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| UNT Offense | vs | SDSU Defense | ||
| #6 | +0.41 | EPA / Pass | -0.17 | #4 |
| #4 | +0.29 | EPA / Rush | -0.01 | #20 |
| #1 | 65.2% | Available Yards % | 30.9% | #3 |
| #6 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #7 |
| #2 | +0.30 | Early Downs EPA | -0.14 | #5 |
| #11 | 49.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 34.9% | #19 |
| #40 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.7 | #14 |
| UNT Defense | vs | SDSU Offense | ||
| #35 | +0.01 | EPA / Pass | -0.05 | #124 |
| #74 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.12 | #54 |
| #73 | 47.1% | Available Yards % | 39.9% | #106 |
| #68 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #19 |
| #23 | -0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #60 |
| #119 | 47.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 32.9% | #132 |
| #117 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #60 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#33 | 1.5 | Sacks Taken | 1.5 | T-#38 |
| T-#33 | 0.6 | INTs Thrown | 0.7 | T-#60 |
| #123 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#26 |
| T-#83 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.1 | T-#41 |
| T-#38 | 5.4 | Penalties | 5.9 | T-#60 |
| #25 | 43.9 | Penalty Yards | 53.2 | #70 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #94 | 1.7 | Sacks | 2.6 | T-#20 |
| T-#31 | 1.0 | INTs | 1.2 | T-#16 |
| #3 | 0.9 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#109 |
| T-#11 | 1.9 | Takeaways | 1.5 | T-#44 |
| #81 | 5.7 | Penalties Drawn | 5.3 | T-#97 |
| #83 | 50.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 41.7 | #114 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#10 | 10-4 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 10-3 | T-#3 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Drew Svoboda | Head Coach | Sean Lewis | ||
| T-#125 | 1 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| T-#1 | 1-0 | Career Record | 36-44 | #96 |
| Situation | ||||
| 22 days | Rest | 29 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Drew Mestemaker | QB | Jayden Denegal | ||
| #3 | +0.54 | EPA / Att | +0.07 | #124 |
| #4 | 55.9% | Success Rate | 38.3% | #121 |
| #41 | 1.55 | Explosiveness | 1.72 | #9 |
| #41 | 3.8% | Sack Rate | 5.7% | #93 |
| #62 | +0.28 | Rush EPA | +0.04 | #113 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #2RB | Caleb Hawkins+71.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Lucky Sutton+48.0 | #9RB |
| #22WR | Wyatt Young+62.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Napier+35.3 | 89.0thWR |
| 95.2thDB | Will Jones II+17.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Chris Johnson+24.7 | 98.7thDB |
| 93.7thDB | Quinton Hammonds+15.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Dwayne McDougle III+20.4 | 96.9thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#90 | 3 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#102 |
| T-#74 | 45 | 3★ Players | 59 | T-#25 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||