+27.5(-110)
SPREAD
-27(-110)
TOTAL · 49.5
O 49.5(-110)U 50(-110)
U 50(-110)+1700
MONEYLINEMIZ 98%
-4500
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #15 | +0.25 | SOS Played | -0.29 | #131 |
| #71 | -0.02 | SOS Remaining | +0.18 | #11 |
| Offense | ||||
| #19 | +0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.04 | #46 |
| #60 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.27 | #31 |
| #90 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 6.6 | #36 |
| #110 | 33.8% | Success Rate | 35.2% | #104 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #17 | -0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.15 | #24 |
| #58 | +0.07 | EPA / Play | -0.21 | #6 |
| #59 | 5.6 | Yards / Play | 4.3 | #18 |
| #104 | 47.1% | Success Rate | 28.8% | #9 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TROY Offense | vs |  MIZ Defense | ||
| #56 | +0.21 | EPA / Pass | -0.27 | #7 |
| #59 | +0.10 | EPA / Rush | -0.13 | #23 |
| #94 | 38.2% | Available Yards % | 25.4% | #10 |
| #36 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #43 |
| #54 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | -0.27 | #8 |
| T-#67 | 40.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 31.6% | T-#34 |
| #101 | 7.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 10.6 | #2 |
| TROY Defense | vs | MIZ Offense | ||
| #79 | +0.23 | EPA / Pass | +0.73 | #7 |
| #5 | -0.33 | EPA / Rush | -0.07 | #102 |
| #49 | 40.2% | Available Yards % | 54.0% | #35 |
| #3 | Own 20 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 39 | #6 |
| #39 | -0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.17 | #38 |
| T-#70 | 40.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.4% | #49 |
| #3 | 10.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #55 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#122 | 4.0 | Sacks Taken | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#91 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#45 |
| T-#48 | 6.0 | Penalties | 10.0 | T-#124 |
| T-#72 | 55.0 | Penalty Yards | 76.0 | T-#114 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#9 | 4.0 | Sacks | 4.0 | T-#9 |
| T-#20 | 1.0 | INTs | 2.0 | T-#6 |
| T-#78 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#12 |
| T-#53 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 3.0 | T-#6 |
| T-#73 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 11.0 | T-#3 |
| T-#109 | 35.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 89.0 | #9 |
| Record | ||||
| #59 | 8-6 | Last Year Record (2025) | 8-5 | T-#50 |
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Gerad Parker | Head Coach | Eli Drinkwitz | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#15 |
| #108 | 12-20 | Career Record | 58-30 | #29 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| 610 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Will Crowder | QB | Austin Simmons | ||
| #49 | +0.40 | EPA / Att | +0.78 | #7 |
| #95 | 41.2% | Success Rate | 62.5% | #10 |
| #20 | 1.85 | Explosiveness | 1.59 | #57 |
| #117 | 8.9% | Sack Rate | 2.0% | #27 |
| #42 | +0.39 | Rush EPA | -0.33 | #117 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 85.7thWR | TK Keyes+16.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Cayden Lee+39.9 | #11WR |
| 86.0thRB | Jaheim Merriweather+12.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Jamal Roberts+30.7 | #12RB |
| 94.1thDB | Jabari Strait+7.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Daeden Hopkins+10.1 | #16DL |
| 95.8thDL | Kavion Henderson+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Trajen Greco+9.4 | 96.2thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#83 | 5 | 4★ Players | 32 | #18 |
| T-#95 | 49 | 3★ Players | 52 | T-#86 |
| Transfers | ||||
7 in · 14 out | OFF Transfers | 13 in · 15 out | ||
6 in · 11 out | DEF Transfers | 15 in · 9 out | ||
| 33% | OFF Returning | 43% | ||
| 30% | DEF Returning | 29% | ||