UL Monroe logo
Sun Belt0-51-4 ATS13
FINAL
ESPNU
Davis Wade StadiumStarkville, MS
Mississippi State logo
SEC4-14-1 ATS62
ODDS · CLOSING LINE
+28.5(-110)bovada
SPREAD
-28.5(-110)bovada
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)draftkingsU 55(-110)bovada
+2500bovada
MONEYLINEMSST 98%
-4000draftkings
Schedule
#105-0.07SOS Played+0.14#24
—SOS Remaining—
OffenseULM 2025 final · MSST 2025 final
#120-0.18Adj. EPA / Play+0.01#54
#119-0.02EPA / Play+0.07#79
#915.5Yards / Play5.6#83
#12336.4%Success Rate40.5%#85
Defense · allowed
#127+0.10Adj. EPA / Play-0.04#70
#106+0.17EPA / Play+0.19#116
#675.9Yards / Play6.5#116
#5441.4%Success Rate44.3%#96
Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods
UL Monroe logoULM OffensevsMississippi State logoMSST Defense
#102+0.01EPA / Pass+0.19#92
#124-0.05EPA / Rush+0.18#118
#12336.0%Available Yards %48.4%#85
#123Own 27Starting Field Pos.Own 29#46
#98-0.01Early Downs EPA+0.11#105
#13232.9%3rd/4th Down Success43.7%#89
#1358.6Avg 3rd Down Distance6.6#109
UL Monroe logoULM DefensevsMississippi State logoMSST Offense
#124+0.29EPA / Pass+0.09#71
#56+0.07EPA / Rush+0.06#79
#12254.4%Available Yards %42.1%#95
#135Own 35Starting Field Pos.Own 28#96
#84+0.08Early Downs EPA-0.00#95
#12147.6%3rd/4th Down Success41.6%#68
T-#697.0Avg 3rd Down Distance7.1#80
Negative Plays · committedper game
#431.6Sacks Taken3.7#133
T-#971.0INTs Thrown0.7T-#47
T-#960.6Fumbles Lost0.5T-#65
T-#1071.6Turnovers1.2T-#46
T-#1207.5Penalties7.0T-#103
#12666.8Penalty Yards60.5#103
Negative Plays · forcedper game
T-#791.8Sacks1.7T-#94
T-#1190.4INTs1.0T-#32
T-#960.4Fumbles Recovered0.3T-#117
T-#1240.7Takeaways1.3T-#71
T-#1035.2Penalties Drawn8.4#3
#8949.1Penalty Yds Drawn70.8#6
Record
T-#1173-9Last Year Record (2025)5-8T-#95
T-#1271-4Current Year ATS (2026)4-1T-#13
Coaching
Bryant VincentHead CoachJeff Lebby
T-#553Seasons at School3T-#55
#10415-22Career Record7-18#121
Situation
—Rest—
200 miTravelHome
Aidan ArmentaQBKamario Taylor
#107+0.13EPA / Att+0.16#98
#12138.2%Success Rate38.7%#118
#81.72Explosiveness1.66#14
#1117.2%Sack Rate10.7%#129
#132-0.14Rush EPA+0.63#2
Last 8 · EPA / Att
Game Breakers
82.9thWRPlaymaker · PPA#9WR
81.4thWRPlaymaker · PPA#10RB
89.9thDBDefender · Havoc EPA91.4thDB
85.1thDBDefender · Havoc EPA91.4thDB
Recruiting
T-#3705★ Players0T-#37
T-#12014★ Players29T-#20
T-#134223★ Players51T-#88
Transfers
11 in · 8 out
OFF Transfers
13 in · 23 out
6 in · 8 out
DEF Transfers
14 in · 15 out
50%OFF Returning34%
47%DEF Returning46%