+20.5(-110)
SPREAD
-20.5(-110)
TOTAL · 54
O 54(-110)
U 54.5(-110)
U 54.5(-110)+900
MONEYLINEUK 94%
-1600
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #82 | -0.06 | SOS Played | +0.16 | #24 |
| #93 | -0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.19 | #12 |
| Offense | ||||
| #28 | +0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.02 | #63 |
| #17 | +0.34 | EPA / Play | +0.03 | #98 |
| #34 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #79 |
| #39 | 45.8% | Success Rate | 41.4% | T-#73 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #131 | +0.30 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.21 | #22 |
| #131 | +0.42 | EPA / Play | +0.03 | #36 |
| #128 | 7.8 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #44 |
| #82 | 43.5% | Success Rate | 45.3% | #100 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 USA Offense | vs |  UK Defense | ||
| #14 | +0.54 | EPA / Pass | -0.14 | #12 |
| #26 | +0.22 | EPA / Rush | +0.20 | #103 |
| #15 | 61.5% | Available Yards % | 55.7% | #107 |
| T-#83 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #116 |
| #23 | +0.25 | Early Downs EPA | -0.01 | #42 |
| T-#14 | 55.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 51.4% | T-#112 |
| #14 | 5.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | T-#102 |
| USA Defense | vs | UK Offense | ||
| #105 | +0.35 | EPA / Pass | +0.21 | #64 |
| #137 | +0.50 | EPA / Rush | -0.12 | #125 |
| #106 | 55.7% | Available Yards % | 36.4% | #108 |
| #81 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #82 |
| #126 | +0.30 | Early Downs EPA | +0.22 | #26 |
| #124 | 54.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 24.1% | #130 |
| #51 | 7.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.4 | #37 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#7 | 0.5 | Sacks Taken | 3.0 | T-#115 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#42 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#100 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Turnovers | 1.5 | T-#86 |
| T-#102 | 8.0 | Penalties | 7.5 | T-#89 |
| #110 | 68.5 | Penalty Yards | 64.5 | T-#97 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#43 | 2.0 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#43 |
| T-#73 | 0.5 | INTs | 2.0 | T-#4 |
| T-#50 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#50 |
| T-#58 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 2.5 | T-#7 |
| T-#93 | 5.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.0 | T-#105 |
| T-#104 | 41.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 27.5 | T-#130 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#98 | 4-8 | Last Year Record (2025) | 5-7 | T-#83 |
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 5-1 | T-#9 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Major Applewhite | Head Coach | Will Stein | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #83 | 26-25 | Career Record | 0-0 | |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 548 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jared Hollins | QB | Kenny Minchey | ||
| #10 | +0.68 | EPA / Att | +0.50 | #30 |
| #47 | 50.0% | Success Rate | 50.7% | #43 |
| #13 | 1.87 | Explosiveness | 1.75 | #27 |
| #1 | 0.0% | Sack Rate | 7.3% | #107 |
| #111 | -0.08 | Rush EPA | -0.08 | #111 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.2thWR | Anthony Eager+20.5 | Playmaker · PPA | CJ Baxter+27.3 | #19RB |
| 94.6thRB | Keenan Phillips+19.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Kenny Darby+19.5 | 89.7thWR |
| #5DB | Damyrion Darby+17.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jordan Castell+11.5 | 98.4thDB |
| 95.2thDL | Mase Lewis+6.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | #23DL | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#18 |
| T-#120 | 1 | 4★ Players | 26 | T-#24 |
| T-#46 | 62 | 3★ Players | 55 | T-#78 |
| Transfers | ||||
4 in · 6 out | OFF Transfers | 17 in · 11 out | ||
7 in · 11 out | DEF Transfers | 13 in · 12 out | ||
| 83% | OFF Returning | 19% | ||
| 42% | DEF Returning | 49% | ||