Samford logo
Southern0-22-0 ATS7
FINAL
McLane Stadium
Baylor logo
Big 125-72-10 ATS42
ODDS · CLOSING LINE
+52.5(-110)espnbet
SPREAD
-51.5(-110)draftkings
TOTAL · 64.5
O 64.5(-110)espnbetU 65.5(-110)draftkings
—
MONEYLINE
—
Schedule
—SOS Played+0.06#50
—SOS Remaining+0.14#17
Offense
—Adj. EPA / Play+0.08#43
—EPA / Play+0.15#56
—Yards / Play6.3#50
—Success Rate42.6%#55
Defense · allowed
—Adj. EPA / Play+0.10#105
—EPA / Play+0.24#108
—Yards / Play6.6#103
—Success Rate50.4%#121
Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods
Samford logoSAM OffensevsBaylor logoBAY Defense
—EPA / Pass+0.18#71
—EPA / Rush+0.27#115
—Available Yards %55.3%#103
—Starting Field Pos.Own 34#115
—Early Downs EPA+0.12#97
—3rd/4th Down Success45.5%#87
—Avg 3rd Down Distance8.0T-#32
Samford logoSAM DefensevsBaylor logoBAY Offense
—EPA / Pass+0.34#35
—EPA / Rush-0.17#118
—Available Yards %64.1%#17
—Starting Field Pos.Own 33#30
—Early Downs EPA+0.13#43
—3rd/4th Down Success43.6%#54
—Avg 3rd Down Distance6.0#28
Negative Plays · committedper game
—Sacks Taken2.5T-#94
—INTs Thrown0.0T-#1
—Fumbles Lost1.0T-#95
—Turnovers1.0T-#52
—Penalties6.0T-#62
—Penalty Yards59.5#91
Negative Plays · forcedper game
—Sacks1.5T-#74
—INTs0.5T-#59
—Fumbles Recovered0.0T-#65
—Takeaways0.5T-#89
—Penalties Drawn7.5T-#34
—Penalty Yds Drawn69.0T-#23
Record
0-0Last Year Record (2024)0-0
2-0Current Year ATS (2025)2-10T-#136
Coaching
—Head CoachDave Aranda
—Seasons at School7T-#18
—Career Record36-37T-#83
Situation
—Rest7 days
—Travel—
—QBSawyer Robertson
—EPA / Att+0.42#41
—Success Rate52.0%#35
—Explosiveness1.53#58
—Sack Rate4.9%#80
—Rush EPA+0.16#88
—Last 8 · EPA / Att
Game Breakers
—Playmaker · PPA91.5thWR
—Playmaker · PPA90.2thWR
—Defender · Havoc EPA92.9thDB
—Defender · Havoc EPA92.1thDB
Recruiting
—5★ Players0T-#33
—4★ Players14T-#39
—3★ Players65T-#11
Transfers
—OFF Transfers
0 in · 0 out
—DEF Transfers
0 in · 0 out
—OFF Returning—
—DEF Returning—