-5.5(-110)
SPREAD
+5.5(-110)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 55(-110)
U 55(-110)-180
MONEYLINETEX 64%
+170
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #12 | +0.25 | SOS Played | -0.28 | #127 |
| #11 | +0.20 | SOS Remaining | +0.14 | #24 |
| Offense | ||||
| #18 | +0.20 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.18 | #22 |
| #59 | +0.18 | EPA / Play | +0.37 | #11 |
| #91 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 6.8 | #24 |
| #25 | 48.5% | Success Rate | 48.9% | #21 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #10 | -0.27 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.12 | #102 |
| #27 | -0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #33 |
| #30 | 5.1 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #33 |
| #27 | 35.8% | Success Rate | 42.2% | #74 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TEX Offense | vs |  TENN Defense | ||
| #57 | +0.25 | EPA / Pass | -0.08 | #20 |
| #59 | +0.12 | EPA / Rush | +0.15 | #89 |
| #32 | 55.7% | Available Yards % | 38.9% | #37 |
| #36 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 24 | #17 |
| #84 | +0.04 | Early Downs EPA | -0.06 | #32 |
| #9 | 57.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.9% | T-#80 |
| #23 | 6.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.7 | T-#36 |
| TEX Defense | vs | TENN Offense | ||
| #55 | +0.09 | EPA / Pass | +0.29 | #49 |
| #12 | -0.13 | EPA / Rush | +0.41 | #5 |
| #23 | 34.9% | Available Yards % | 62.3% | #10 |
| #65 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #25 |
| #19 | -0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.29 | #17 |
| #41 | 37.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 52.0% | #27 |
| #29 | 7.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | T-#55 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#49 | 1.3 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#22 |
| T-#78 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#43 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#62 |
| T-#42 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.5 | T-#17 |
| T-#24 | 4.7 | Penalties | 8.5 | T-#116 |
| T-#33 | 45.0 | Penalty Yards | 81.0 | T-#126 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#64 | 1.7 | Sacks | 3.0 | T-#17 |
| T-#25 | 1.0 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#25 |
| T-#36 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#50 |
| T-#30 | 1.7 | Takeaways | 1.5 | T-#35 |
| T-#78 | 6.3 | Penalties Drawn | 7.0 | T-#55 |
| T-#59 | 60.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 68.0 | T-#37 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#17 | 10-3 | Last Year Record (2025) | 8-5 | T-#50 |
| T-#127 | 1-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Steve Sarkisian | Head Coach | Josh Heupel | ||
| T-#21 | 6 | Seasons at School | 6 | T-#21 |
| #37 | 91-53 | Career Record | 73-28 | #15 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 889 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Arch Manning | QB | Faizon Brandon | ||
| #76 | +0.29 | EPA / Att | +0.46 | #40 |
| #63 | 47.4% | Success Rate | 48.4% | #59 |
| #54 | 1.58 | Explosiveness | 1.54 | #61 |
| #53 | 3.9% | Sack Rate | 4.5% | #63 |
| #60 | +0.27 | Rush EPA | +0.76 | #7 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 93.3thWR | Ryan Wingo+23.8 | Playmaker · PPA | DeSean Bishop+30.7 | #13RB |
| 92.0thWR | Cam Coleman+21.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Mike Matthews+19.9 | 90.2thWR |
| #1DL | Colin Simmons+14.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Dejuan Lane+14.5 | #15DB |
| #6LB | Rasheem Biles+14.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Xavier Gilliam+13.0 | #5DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| #1 | 15 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#11 |
| #9 | 43 | 4★ Players | 40 | T-#13 |
| #122 | 32 | 3★ Players | 45 | T-#104 |
| Transfers | ||||
11 in · 18 out | OFF Transfers | 7 in · 13 out | ||
8 in · 7 out | DEF Transfers | 11 in · 14 out | ||
| 66% | OFF Returning | 35% | ||
| 63% | DEF Returning | 43% | ||