+10(-110)
SPREAD
-10(-110)
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)+300
MONEYLINEARIZ 79%
-380
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #33 | +0.08 | SOS Played | -0.05 | #91 |
| #39 | +0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.13 | #36 |
| Offense | ||||
| #68 | -0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.14 | #26 |
| #71 | +0.12 | EPA / Play | +0.27 | #22 |
| #66 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 7.0 | #14 |
| #93 | 40.1% | Success Rate | 47.8% | #24 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #63 | -0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.03 | #62 |
| #90 | +0.18 | EPA / Play | +0.04 | #34 |
| #108 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #26 |
| #88 | 43.4% | Success Rate | 38.2% | #32 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 ISU Offense | vs |  ARIZ Defense | ||
| #76 | +0.12 | EPA / Pass | +0.01 | #31 |
| #63 | +0.12 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #58 |
| #88 | 42.8% | Available Yards % | 46.7% | #77 |
| #129 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #64 |
| #47 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | -0.06 | #17 |
| #119 | 31.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.4% | #85 |
| #122 | 8.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.3 | #52 |
| ISU Defense | vs | ARIZ Offense | ||
| #78 | +0.16 | EPA / Pass | +0.36 | #20 |
| #105 | +0.20 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #48 |
| #54 | 43.4% | Available Yards % | 53.7% | #28 |
| #78 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #99 |
| #113 | +0.19 | Early Downs EPA | +0.22 | #22 |
| #19 | 32.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 53.0% | #7 |
| #85 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #46 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#37 | 1.4 | Sacks Taken | 2.8 | T-#114 |
| T-#81 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#95 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#32 | 0.8 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#41 |
| T-#35 | 5.6 | Penalties | 6.4 | T-#56 |
| #38 | 48.4 | Penalty Yards | 62.2 | T-#86 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#133 | 0.6 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#60 |
| T-#122 | 0.2 | INTs | 0.2 | T-#122 |
| T-#20 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.6 | T-#40 |
| T-#74 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#97 |
| T-#65 | 6.6 | Penalties Drawn | 6.2 | T-#85 |
| #67 | 57.4 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 51.2 | T-#90 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jimmy Rogers | Head Coach | Brent Brennan | ||
| T-#109 | 1 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| T-#84 | 6-6 | Career Record | 47-60 | #97 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| 1,165 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jaylen Raynor | QB | Noah Fifita | ||
| #112 | +0.14 | EPA / Att | +0.50 | #19 |
| #103 | 41.2% | Success Rate | 55.8% | #12 |
| #95 | 1.44 | Explosiveness | 1.48 | #84 |
| #67 | 5.1% | Sack Rate | 7.3% | #102 |
| #54 | +0.29 | Rush EPA | +0.31 | #50 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #11RB | Aiden Flora+32.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Isaiah Mizell+33.2 | #24WR |
| 76.6thWR | Omari Hayes+11.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Tre Spivey+32.0 | 97.4thWR |
| 94.7thLB | Carson Willich+7.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Quinn Olson+7.4 | 94.4thDB |
| 87.1thLB | Defender · Havoc EPA | Cam Chapa+7.1 | 93.8thDB | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#23 | 1 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#91 | 4 | 4★ Players | 13 | #47 |
| T-#15 | 69 | 3★ Players | 58 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
23 in · 27 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 10 out | ||
23 in · 29 out | DEF Transfers | 11 in · 9 out | ||
| 2% | OFF Returning | 70% | ||
| 14% | DEF Returning | 44% | ||