Louisville logo
ACC3-34-2 ATS38
FINAL
ABC
Nissan StadiumNashville, TNNEUTRAL
Ole Miss logo
SEC4-12-3 ATS41
ODDS · CLOSING LINE
+6.5(-110)bovada
SPREAD
-6.5(-110)bovada
TOTAL · 55
O 55(-110)bovadaU 55.5(-110)draftkings
+220bovada
MONEYLINEMISS 72%
-258draftkings
Schedule
#45+0.11SOS Played+0.14#28
—SOS Remaining—
OffenseLOU 2025 final · MISS 2025 final
#36+0.07Adj. EPA / Play+0.22#6
#55+0.12EPA / Play+0.26#12
#376.2Yards / Play6.9#13
#3644.8%Success Rate47.4%#12
Defense · allowed
#11-0.21Adj. EPA / Play-0.12#41
#11-0.04EPA / Play+0.08#57
#64.9Yards / Play5.6#45
#2137.7%Success Rate40.3%#46
Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods
Louisville logoLOU OffensevsOle Miss logoMISS Defense
#74+0.08EPA / Pass+0.00#25
#29+0.17EPA / Rush+0.17#105
#9242.5%Available Yards %44.2%#50
#5Own 34Starting Field Pos.Own 27#16
#41+0.10Early Downs EPA+0.07#81
#10536.5%3rd/4th Down Success38.4%#40
#937.2Avg 3rd Down Distance6.9#80
Louisville logoLOU DefensevsOle Miss logoMISS Offense
#10-0.09EPA / Pass+0.38#6
#32+0.02EPA / Rush+0.15#36
#1135.0%Available Yards %59.3%#7
#28Own 28Starting Field Pos.Own 29#89
#23-0.04Early Downs EPA+0.20#6
#1133.7%3rd/4th Down Success45.5%#32
#427.2Avg 3rd Down Distance6.0#5
Negative Plays · committedper game
T-#742.0Sacks Taken1.1#11
T-#160.5INTs Thrown0.5T-#16
T-#1040.7Fumbles Lost0.4#52
T-#461.2Turnovers0.9#21
T-#866.5Penalties5.7#54
T-#9659.6Penalty Yards54.4#73
Negative Plays · forcedper game
T-#422.3Sacks2.2#46
T-#181.2INTs0.6#83
T-#620.5Fumbles Recovered0.4T-#85
T-#281.7Takeaways1.1#97
T-#167.3Penalties Drawn5.9#71
#4259.3Penalty Yds Drawn51.2#83
Record
T-#269-4Last Year Record (2025)13-2T-#2
T-#224-2Current Year ATS (2026)2-3T-#87
Coaching
Jeff BrohmHead CoachPete Golding
T-#444Seasons at School2T-#78
#3894-56Career Record2-1#27
Situation
—Rest—
152 miTravel200 mi
—QBTrinidad Chambliss
—EPA / Att+0.45#9
—Success Rate51.8%#10
—Explosiveness1.54#41
—Sack Rate2.8%#19
—Rush EPA+0.27#66
—Last 8 · EPA / Att
Game Breakers
#20WRPlaymaker · PPA97.3thWR
91.0thWRPlaymaker · PPA87.9thWR
#2DBDefender · Havoc EPA97.2thDB
97.4thLBDefender · Havoc EPA97.4thDL
Recruiting
T-#3705★ Players5#10
T-#33194★ Players42T-#10
T-#88513★ Players38T-#115
Transfers
16 in · 18 out
OFF Transfers
16 in · 11 out
14 in · 12 out
DEF Transfers
13 in · 11 out
30%OFF Returning50%
51%DEF Returning46%