+7.5(-110)
SPREAD
-7.5(-110)
TOTAL · 46
O 46(-110)U 46.5(-110)
U 46.5(-110)+250
MONEYLINETCU 70%
-235
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #74 | +0.04 | SOS Played | +0.12 | #36 |
| — | SOS Remaining | — | ||
| OffenseUNC 2025 final · TCU 2025 final | ||||
| #84 | -0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #38 |
| #103 | +0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.14 | #48 |
| #109 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #41 |
| #104 | 38.3% | Success Rate | 43.6% | #44 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #91 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.13 | #36 |
| #87 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.07 | #50 |
| #26 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #50 |
| #72 | 42.5% | Success Rate | 39.7% | #41 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UNC Offense | vs |  TCU Defense | ||
| #84 | +0.06 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #83 |
| #101 | +0.01 | EPA / Rush | -0.04 | #10 |
| #124 | 36.0% | Available Yards % | 44.8% | #54 |
| #79 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #67 |
| #119 | -0.06 | Early Downs EPA | -0.01 | #36 |
| #72 | 41.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.7% | #56 |
| #62 | 6.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #65 |
| UNC Defense | vs | TCU Offense | ||
| #71 | +0.12 | EPA / Pass | +0.21 | #38 |
| #117 | +0.18 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #78 |
| #70 | 46.7% | Available Yards % | 48.9% | #44 |
| #56 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #35 |
| #46 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #85 |
| #124 | 47.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 46.0% | #28 |
| #30 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #106 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#59 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 1.8 | T-#64 |
| T-#10 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 1.2 | T-#123 |
| T-#124 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#39 |
| T-#67 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#100 |
| #97 | 6.8 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#103 |
| #117 | 63.7 | Penalty Yards | 63.3 | T-#114 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#28 | 2.5 | Sacks | 1.7 | T-#94 |
| T-#113 | 0.5 | INTs | 1.2 | T-#18 |
| T-#96 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.6 | T-#43 |
| T-#117 | 0.8 | Takeaways | 1.8 | T-#22 |
| #97 | 5.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.1 | T-#110 |
| T-#62 | 54.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 44.2 | #106 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#98 | 4-8 | Last Year Record (2025) | 9-4 | T-#26 |
| T-#43 | 3-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Bill Belichick | Head Coach | Sonny Dykes | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| T-#111 | 4-8 | Career Record | 107-79 | #61 |
| Situation | ||||
| — | Rest | — | ||
| 3,605 mi | Travel | 4,487 mi | ||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.9thWR | Jordan Shipp+21.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Kari Ashley+33.5 | #2TE |
| 90.3thTE | Shamar Easter+10.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Ed Small+23.0 | 93.1thWR |
| T-#9DB | Greg Smith+15.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 92.0thDB | |
| #6DL | Xavier Lewis+12.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ansel Din-Mbuh+5.7 | 93.6thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#26 | 25 | 4★ Players | 18 | T-#36 |
| T-#46 | 62 | 3★ Players | 64 | T-#33 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 18 out | OFF Transfers | 6 in · 7 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 6 in · 7 out | ||
| 31% | OFF Returning | 24% | ||
| 39% | DEF Returning | 49% | ||