+10(-110)
SPREAD
-9.5(-110)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)+320
MONEYLINEFIU 80%
-410
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #135 | -0.18 | SOS Played | +0.01 | #43 |
| — | SOS Remaining | -0.13 | #93 | |
| OffenseBUF 2025 final | ||||
| #132 | -0.25 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.14 | #76 |
| #120 | -0.02 | EPA / Play | -0.11 | #79 |
| #108 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 5.4 | #54 |
| #115 | 37.5% | Success Rate | 37.3% | #60 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #94 | +0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #40 |
| #52 | +0.07 | EPA / Play | -0.01 | #29 |
| #33 | 5.4 | Yards / Play | 3.7 | #11 |
| #38 | 39.6% | Success Rate | 42.9% | #55 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| BUF Offense | vs | FIU Defense | ||
| #111 | -0.01 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #47 |
| #123 | -0.05 | EPA / Rush | -0.10 | #27 |
| #117 | 38.1% | Available Yards % | 36.6% | #26 |
| #45 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 41 | #91 |
| #113 | -0.04 | Early Downs EPA | -0.09 | #27 |
| T-#128 | 33.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.5% | T-#41 |
| #111 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.2 | #20 |
| BUF Defense | vs | FIU Offense | ||
| #63 | +0.11 | EPA / Pass | +0.01 | #65 |
| #44 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | -0.37 | #89 |
| #25 | 39.0% | Available Yards % | 44.3% | #49 |
| #59 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 22 | #88 |
| #44 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #49 |
| #53 | 40.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.3% | T-#65 |
| #91 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #54 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#85 | 2.1 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#17 |
| T-#115 | 1.1 | INTs Thrown | 2.0 | T-#85 |
| T-#114 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#56 |
| T-#119 | 1.8 | Turnovers | 3.0 | T-#82 |
| T-#50 | 5.6 | Penalties | 8.0 | T-#64 |
| #39 | 47.2 | Penalty Yards | 50.0 | T-#46 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #15 | 2.8 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#50 |
| T-#84 | 0.6 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#49 |
| T-#36 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#43 |
| T-#66 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 0.0 | T-#67 |
| T-#116 | 4.8 | Penalties Drawn | 4.0 | T-#71 |
| #130 | 36.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 30.0 | T-#80 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#83 | 5-7 | Last Year Record (2025) | 7-6 | T-#60 |
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pete Lembo | Head Coach | Willie Simmons | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #71 | 47-40 | Career Record | 7-6 | T-#72 |
| Situation | ||||
| 9 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,195 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Elijah Holmes | QB | J.J. Kohl | ||
| #88 | +0.20 | EPA / Att | +0.03 | #108 |
| #94 | 40.4% | Success Rate | 42.0% | #88 |
| #90 | 1.34 | Explosiveness | 1.27 | #96 |
| #46 | 2.1% | Sack Rate | 2.0% | #45 |
| #87 | -0.02 | Rush EPA | -0.22 | #100 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.4thWR | Chance Morrow+28.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Maguire Anderson+24.8 | 93.6thWR |
| 78.5thRB | Nino Hill+8.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Jojo Stone+12.8 | 80.7thWR |
| 95.2thLB | SaVeon Brown+7.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 98.1thDL | |
| 91.9thDL | Logan Goodwin+5.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | DeAndre Boykins+7.4 | 94.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 6 | T-#76 |
| T-#55 | 60 | 3★ Players | 58 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
5 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 9 in · 7 out | ||
10 in · 10 out | DEF Transfers | 11 in · 11 out | ||
| 7% | OFF Returning | 30% | ||
| 24% | DEF Returning | 41% | ||