+6.5(-110)
SPREAD
-6.5(-110)
TOTAL · 51.5
O 51.5(-110)U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)+195
MONEYLINEILL 70%
-235
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #58 | -0.03 | SOS Played | -0.05 | #62 |
| #30 | +0.04 | SOS Remaining | +0.12 | #11 |
| Offense | ||||
| #65 | -0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.18 | #15 |
| #73 | -0.05 | EPA / Play | +0.45 | #13 |
| #60 | 5.1 | Yards / Play | 7.9 | #14 |
| #82 | 29.7% | Success Rate | 57.1% | #6 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #11 | -0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #37 |
| #12 | -0.18 | EPA / Play | +0.16 | #57 |
| #28 | 4.8 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #57 |
| #8 | 27.8% | Success Rate | 43.6% | #59 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 DUKE Offense | vs |  ILL Defense | ||
| #87 | -0.30 | EPA / Pass | +0.06 | #32 |
| #42 | +0.09 | EPA / Rush | +0.23 | #75 |
| #48 | 44.4% | Available Yards % | 69.1% | #85 |
| #21 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #76 |
| #80 | -0.17 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #32 |
| T-#39 | 42.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 56.5% | #80 |
| T-#45 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #60 |
| DUKE Defense | vs | ILL Offense | ||
| #14 | -0.19 | EPA / Pass | +0.89 | #4 |
| #21 | -0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.15 | #30 |
| #12 | 23.8% | Available Yards % | 61.7% | #21 |
| #30 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #44 |
| #18 | -0.14 | Early Downs EPA | +0.58 | #2 |
| T-#8 | 18.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.0% | T-#26 |
| #5 | 9.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 3.0 | #1 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Sacks Taken | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#56 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#29 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#64 | 8.0 | Penalties | 1.0 | #1 |
| #50 | 53.0 | Penalty Yards | 4.0 | #1 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#12 | 3.0 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#50 |
| T-#49 | 0.0 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#12 |
| T-#10 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#43 |
| T-#32 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#32 |
| #1 | 15.0 | Penalties Drawn | 9.0 | T-#12 |
| #4 | 104.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 69.0 | T-#25 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#47 | 9-5 | Last Year Record (2025) | 9-4 | T-#26 |
| T-#13 | 4-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Manny Diaz | Head Coach | Bret Bielema | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 6 | T-#21 |
| #40 | 39-24 | Career Record | 134-84 | #42 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 9 days | ||
| 579 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Walker Eget | QB | Katin Houser | ||
| #119 | -0.19 | EPA / Att | +0.89 | #13 |
| #121 | 30.8% | Success Rate | 70.6% | #10 |
| #101 | 1.22 | Explosiveness | 1.53 | #64 |
| #1 | 0.0% | Sack Rate | 0.0% | #1 |
| #122 | -1.20 | Rush EPA | +1.30 | #5 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #1RB | Nate Sheppard+50.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Collin Dixon+59.4 | #3WR |
| #20TE | Jeremiah Hasley+17.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Hudson Clement+22.1 | 92.6thWR |
| 94.9thDL | Bryce Davis+6.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ismael Kante+8.4 | 95.9thLB |
| 94.4thDL | Tyshon Reed+6.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Matthew Bailey+5.8 | 88.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#70 | 7 | 4★ Players | 9 | T-#60 |
| T-#15 | 69 | 3★ Players | 73 | T-#10 |
| Transfers | ||||
11 in · 8 out | OFF Transfers | 8 in · 11 out | ||
8 in · 9 out | DEF Transfers | 10 in · 15 out | ||
| 16% | OFF Returning | 21% | ||
| 33% | DEF Returning | 30% | ||