-4(-110)
SPREAD
+4.5(-110)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)-198
MONEYLINEFRES 66%
+225
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #68 | +0.02 | SOS Played | +0.07 | #49 |
| #94 | -0.08 | SOS Remaining | -0.11 | #109 |
| Offense | ||||
| #70 | -0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.15 | #20 |
| #50 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.20 | #47 |
| #37 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #76 |
| #66 | 40.8% | Success Rate | 38.0% | #85 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #39 | -0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #68 |
| #50 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.13 | #69 |
| #88 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #58 |
| #105 | 47.4% | Success Rate | 49.0% | #112 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| FRES Offense | vs | SJSU Defense | ||
| #32 | +0.41 | EPA / Pass | +0.03 | #39 |
| #87 | +0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.25 | #113 |
| #64 | 46.1% | Available Yards % | 45.6% | #68 |
| #91 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #67 |
| #21 | +0.29 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #85 |
| T-#104 | 30.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.0% | T-#70 |
| T-#6 | 5.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.6 | #125 |
| FRES Defense | vs | SJSU Offense | ||
| #77 | +0.21 | EPA / Pass | +0.35 | #38 |
| #24 | -0.13 | EPA / Rush | -0.01 | #92 |
| #87 | 51.0% | Available Yards % | 40.4% | #87 |
| #31 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #54 |
| #76 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.10 | #57 |
| T-#68 | 39.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 36.7% | #83 |
| T-#63 | 7.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | T-#102 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#93 | 2.5 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#23 |
| T-#58 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#58 |
| T-#66 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#66 |
| T-#45 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#45 |
| T-#13 | 3.5 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#75 |
| T-#7 | 22.5 | Penalty Yards | 57.5 | #81 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#118 | 0.5 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#81 |
| T-#61 | 0.5 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#20 |
| T-#12 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#78 |
| T-#41 | 1.5 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#53 |
| T-#73 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 4.5 | T-#109 |
| T-#70 | 52.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 34.5 | #112 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#26 | 9-4 | Last Year Record (2025) | 3-9 | T-#117 |
| T-#9 | 5-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Matt Entz | Head Coach | Ken Niumatalolo | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| T-#18 | 9-4 | Career Record | 119-98 | #69 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 121 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jayden Mandal | QB | Luke Weaver | ||
| #32 | +0.51 | EPA / Att | +0.40 | #47 |
| #39 | 51.2% | Success Rate | 45.7% | #73 |
| #71 | 1.53 | Explosiveness | 1.49 | #80 |
| #61 | 4.5% | Sack Rate | 1.9% | #22 |
| #50 | +0.32 | Rush EPA | +0.06 | #84 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.0thWR | Josiah Freeman+31.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Cooper Hoch+26.5 | 94.5thWR |
| 87.8thWR | Ezekiel Avit+18.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Carson Clark+20.8 | 91.4thWR |
| #14DB | Simeon Harris+14.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Dylan Lee+15.0 | #5LB |
| 96.2thDB | Ethan Tierney+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Caleb Womack+9.4 | 96.2thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#120 | 1 | 4★ Players | 3 | T-#96 |
| T-#13 | 71 | 3★ Players | 48 | T-#99 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 9 out | ||
6 in · 6 out | DEF Transfers | 8 in · 9 out | ||
| 39% | OFF Returning | 5% | ||
| 51% | DEF Returning | 12% | ||