+21.5(-110)
SPREAD
-21.5(-110)
TOTAL · 51
O 51(-110)
U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)+1100
MONEYLINEUSC 95%
-1800
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #102 | -0.07 | SOS Played | +0.11 | #43 |
| — | SOS Remaining | — | ||
| OffenseFRES 2025 final · USC 2025 final | ||||
| #121 | -0.18 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.23 | #4 |
| #114 | -0.00 | EPA / Play | +0.33 | #3 |
| #85 | 5.6 | Yards / Play | 7.4 | #4 |
| #109 | 37.9% | Success Rate | 49.6% | #6 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #28 | -0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.13 | #37 |
| #13 | -0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.08 | #60 |
| #14 | 5.1 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #60 |
| #24 | 38.3% | Success Rate | 44.3% | #95 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| FRES Offense | vs | USC Defense | ||
| #112 | -0.01 | EPA / Pass | +0.06 | #49 |
| #106 | +0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #75 |
| #107 | 39.7% | Available Yards % | 46.9% | #73 |
| #7 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #20 |
| #91 | +0.01 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #63 |
| #122 | 34.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.8% | #58 |
| #94 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | #71 |
| FRES Defense | vs | USC Offense | ||
| #8 | -0.12 | EPA / Pass | +0.44 | #3 |
| #43 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.21 | #17 |
| #7 | 33.6% | Available Yards % | 63.0% | #2 |
| #58 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #118 |
| #11 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.19 | #8 |
| #45 | 38.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 55.0% | #2 |
| #63 | 7.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | #72 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#30 | 1.5 | Sacks Taken | 1.2 | T-#12 |
| T-#109 | 1.1 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#66 |
| T-#65 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#63 |
| T-#100 | 1.6 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#61 |
| T-#90 | 6.7 | Penalties | 5.8 | #63 |
| #106 | 61.5 | Penalty Yards | 54.2 | #72 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#84 | 1.8 | Sacks | 2.4 | #33 |
| T-#4 | 1.7 | INTs | 0.9 | T-#42 |
| T-#87 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#72 |
| T-#5 | 2.1 | Takeaways | 1.4 | T-#54 |
| #44 | 6.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.6 | T-#85 |
| #45 | 58.4 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 57.3 | #49 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#26 | 9-4 | Last Year Record (2025) | 9-4 | T-#26 |
| T-#9 | 5-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-5 | T-#125 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Matt Entz | Head Coach | Lincoln Riley | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| T-#18 | 9-4 | Career Record | 90-28 | #12 |
| Situation | ||||
| — | Rest | 6 days | ||
| 210 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| — | QB | Jayden Maiava | ||
| — | EPA / Att | +0.47 | #5 | |
| — | Success Rate | 52.9% | #6 | |
| — | Explosiveness | 1.59 | #23 | |
| — | Sack Rate | 2.0% | #9 | |
| — | Rush EPA | +0.56 | #5 | |
| — | Last 8 · EPA / Att | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.0thWR | Josiah Freeman+31.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Trent Mosley+29.8 | 96.0thWR |
| 87.8thWR | Ezekiel Avit+18.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Kayden Dixon-Wyatt+28.5 | 95.3thWR |
| #14DB | Simeon Harris+14.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Prophet Brown+10.2 | 96.9thDB |
| 96.2thDB | Ethan Tierney+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Luke Wafle+7.8 | 97.1thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#11 |
| T-#120 | 1 | 4★ Players | 44 | #8 |
| T-#13 | 71 | 3★ Players | 33 | T-#120 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 2 in · 11 out | ||
6 in · 6 out | DEF Transfers | 7 in · 12 out | ||
| 39% | OFF Returning | 59% | ||
| 51% | DEF Returning | 55% | ||