North Dakota State logo
Mountain West5-13-3 ATS31
FINAL
ESPN
Hornet StadiumSacramento, CA
Sacramento State logo
Mid-American1-52-4 ATS10
ODDS · CLOSING LINE
-25.5(-110)bovada
SPREAD
+26.5(-110)draftkings
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)draftkingsU 50.5(-110)draftkings
-5000draftkings
MONEYLINENDSU 98%
+1800draftkings
Schedule
#106-0.15SOS Played-0.09#85
#124-0.18SOS Remaining-0.29#134
Offense
#43+0.06Adj. EPA / Play-0.24#124
#53+0.17EPA / Play-0.15#121
#266.9Yards / Play4.2#117
#6241.1%Success Rate38.3%#80
Defense · allowed
#65-0.02Adj. EPA / Play+0.28#129
#33-0.02EPA / Play+0.28#108
#415.1Yards / Play7.4#122
#7542.0%Success Rate46.5%#99
Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods
North Dakota State logoNDSU OffensevsSacramento State logoSAC Defense
#48+0.24EPA / Pass+0.39#102
#51+0.12EPA / Rush+0.15#88
#4750.4%Available Yards %51.1%#88
T-#55Own 30Starting Field Pos.Own 29#74
#50+0.12Early Downs EPA+0.33#123
T-#4545.2%3rd/4th Down Success37.5%#55
#446.5Avg 3rd Down Distance6.4#95
North Dakota State logoNDSU DefensevsSacramento State logoSAC Offense
#33-0.02EPA / Pass-0.26#124
#47-0.03EPA / Rush+0.03#74
#4137.3%Available Yards %27.6%#116
#65Own 28Starting Field Pos.Own 28#77
#27-0.11Early Downs EPA-0.13#112
T-#6839.3%3rd/4th Down Success26.5%T-#117
#278.0Avg 3rd Down Distance8.4#110
Negative Plays · committedper game
T-#231.0Sacks Taken1.5T-#61
T-#761.0INTs Thrown1.0T-#76
T-#10.0Fumbles Lost0.5T-#66
T-#451.0Turnovers1.5T-#83
T-#1119.0Penalties8.5T-#107
#10569.5Penalty Yards72.5#112
Negative Plays · forcedper game
T-#442.0Sacks1.0T-#81
T-#201.0INTs0.0T-#86
T-#520.5Fumbles Recovered0.5T-#52
T-#411.5Takeaways0.5T-#99
T-#497.0Penalties Drawn4.0T-#112
T-#4165.5Penalty Yds Drawn32.0T-#115
Record
0-0Last Year Record (2025)0-1T-#136
T-#533-3Current Year ATS (2026)2-4T-#106
Coaching
Tim PolasekHead CoachAlonzo Carter
T-#1091Seasons at School1T-#109
0-0Career Record0-0
Situation
7 daysRest7 days
1,369 miTravelHome
Nathan HayesQBJackson Sharman
#46+0.41EPA / Att-0.01#123
#3052.2%Success Rate38.3%#109
#471.65Explosiveness1.58#61
#775.6%Sack Rate0.0%#1
#62+0.22Rush EPA-1.52#126
Last 8 · EPA / Att
Game Breakers
94.6thWRPlaymaker · PPA93.8thWR
94.6thTEPlaymaker · PPA75.3thWR
#22LBDefender · Havoc EPA85.8thDB
96.2thDBDefender · Havoc EPA76.6thDB
Recruiting
T-#3705★ Players0T-#37
T-#12904★ Players4T-#91
T-#110433★ Players61T-#49
Transfers
3 in · 2 out
OFF Transfers
11 in · 9 out
3 in · 4 out
DEF Transfers
14 in · 9 out
34%OFF Returning42%
63%DEF Returning55%