-1.5(-110)
SPREAD
+2(-110)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)-125
MONEYLINENDSU 56%
+140
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #88 | -0.30 | SOS Played | -0.02 | #88 |
| #76 | -0.07 | SOS Remaining | — | |
| OffenseAF 2025 final | ||||
| #42 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #41 |
| #37 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.22 | #19 |
| #47 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #80 |
| T-#40 | 42.4% | Success Rate | 46.4% | #17 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #5 | -0.22 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.25 | #137 |
| #3 | -0.36 | EPA / Play | +0.41 | #137 |
| #8 | 3.6 | Yards / Play | 7.9 | #136 |
| #15 | 32.1% | Success Rate | 50.9% | #136 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| NDSU Offense | vs | AF Defense | ||
| #36 | +0.22 | EPA / Pass | +0.49 | #137 |
| #33 | +0.13 | EPA / Rush | +0.32 | #137 |
| #39 | 46.9% | Available Yards % | 60.4% | #135 |
| #78 | Own 23 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #54 |
| #35 | +0.14 | Early Downs EPA | +0.31 | #137 |
| T-#35 | 43.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 54.7% | #136 |
| T-#33 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.5 | #114 |
| NDSU Defense | vs | AF Offense | ||
| #2 | -0.43 | EPA / Pass | +0.31 | #12 |
| #11 | -0.28 | EPA / Rush | +0.20 | #19 |
| #10 | 23.4% | Available Yards % | 58.0% | #8 |
| #66 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #98 |
| #3 | -0.36 | Early Downs EPA | +0.12 | #34 |
| T-#13 | 25.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 53.3% | #5 |
| #2 | 10.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.9 | #4 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#46 | 2.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.4 | T-#22 |
| T-#49 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.6 | T-#40 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#53 |
| T-#29 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.1 | T-#41 |
| #93 | 13.0 | Penalties | 3.5 | #3 |
| #89 | 94.0 | Penalty Yards | 29.0 | #3 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#12 | 3.0 | Sacks | 0.8 | T-#133 |
| T-#12 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.5 | T-#99 |
| T-#10 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#124 |
| T-#13 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#124 |
| T-#24 | 8.0 | Penalties Drawn | 5.4 | T-#98 |
| #20 | 76.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 44.2 | #105 |
| Record | ||||
| 0-0 | Last Year Record (2025) | 4-8 | T-#98 | |
| T-#53 | 3-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tim Polasek | Head Coach | Troy Calhoun | ||
| T-#109 | 1 | Seasons at School | 20 | #2 |
| 0-0 | Career Record | 139-97 | #53 | |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 680 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Nathan Hayes | QB | Liam Szarka | ||
| #44 | +0.49 | EPA / Att | +0.56 | #3 |
| #35 | 56.8% | Success Rate | 53.3% | #5 |
| #88 | 1.35 | Explosiveness | 2.03 | #1 |
| #107 | 8.3% | Sack Rate | 6.2% | #101 |
| #74 | +0.12 | Rush EPA | +0.30 | #56 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.6thWR | Jackson Williams+26.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Matt Long+18.6 | 88.3thWR |
| 94.6thTE | Reis Kessel+14.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Rocco Conti+8.1 | 77.8thRB |
| #22LB | Donovan Woolen+10.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Blake Fletcher+12.3 | #12LB |
| 96.2thDB | Marion Moore+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Max Mustell+8.5 | 95.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 0 | T-#129 |
| T-#110 | 43 | 3★ Players | 5 | #138 |
| Transfers | ||||
3 in · 2 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
3 in · 4 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 1 out | ||
| 34% | OFF Returning | 57% | ||
| 63% | DEF Returning | 67% | ||