-2.5(-110)
SPREAD
+3(-110)
TOTAL · 51
O 51(-110)
U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)-140
MONEYLINECONN 58%
+130
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #116 | -0.13 | SOS Played | -0.10 | #107 |
| #89 | -0.05 | SOS Remaining | -0.27 | #136 |
| Offense | ||||
| #45 | +0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.11 | #96 |
| #18 | +0.30 | EPA / Play | +0.09 | #70 |
| #28 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 5.1 | #108 |
| #49 | 44.6% | Success Rate | 33.7% | #120 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #115 | +0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.03 | #96 |
| #106 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | +0.13 | #78 |
| #100 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #58 |
| #113 | 46.9% | Success Rate | 41.0% | #63 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 CONN Offense | vs |  BUF Defense | ||
| #13 | +0.41 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #86 |
| #40 | +0.18 | EPA / Rush | +0.04 | #56 |
| #35 | 53.9% | Available Yards % | 47.7% | #74 |
| #60 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #95 |
| #35 | +0.14 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #37 |
| #65 | 41.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 55.1% | #129 |
| T-#36 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.1 | #119 |
| CONN Defense | vs | BUF Offense | ||
| #92 | +0.24 | EPA / Pass | +0.19 | #59 |
| #111 | +0.21 | EPA / Rush | -0.02 | #102 |
| #91 | 51.4% | Available Yards % | 35.7% | #110 |
| #20 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #83 |
| #103 | +0.15 | Early Downs EPA | +0.10 | #50 |
| #59 | 40.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 31.8% | T-#119 |
| #133 | 5.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.5 | #39 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#13 | 0.7 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#22 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#19 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.7 | T-#94 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#42 |
| T-#22 | 4.3 | Penalties | 4.3 | T-#22 |
| T-#33 | 39.7 | Penalty Yards | 39.0 | #32 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#3 | 4.0 | Sacks | 4.0 | T-#3 |
| T-#65 | 0.7 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#65 |
| T-#67 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.7 | T-#27 |
| T-#72 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#49 |
| T-#102 | 4.7 | Penalties Drawn | 4.7 | T-#102 |
| #109 | 40.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 37.3 | T-#113 |
| Record | ||||
| #49 | 6-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-7 | T-#114 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Gordon Sammis | Head Coach | Pete Lembo | ||
| T-#125 | 1 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| T-#139 | 0-1 | Career Record | 47-40 | #66 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Joe Fagnano | QB | Ta'Quan Roberson | ||
| #34 | +0.44 | EPA / Att | +0.30 | #65 |
| #50 | 48.8% | Success Rate | 44.2% | #75 |
| #68 | 1.51 | Explosiveness | 1.44 | #85 |
| #16 | 1.5% | Sack Rate | 1.0% | #9 |
| #75 | +0.29 | Rush EPA | +0.41 | #49 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #5WR | Skyler Bell+73.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Victor Snow+49.5 | 95.6thWR |
| #6RB | Cam Edwards+50.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Nik McMillan+41.6 | 92.1thWR |
| #14LB | Bryun Parham+23.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Red Murdock+16.7 | 95.7thLB |
| 97.7thDB | Cam Chadwick Jr.+21.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mitchell Gonser+16.1 | 95.2thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 1 | T-#112 |
| T-#78 | 44 | 3★ Players | 47 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||