+13.5(-110)
SPREAD
-12.5(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)U 49.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)+380
MONEYLINENEB 80%
-410
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #19 | +0.21 | SOS Played | -0.02 | #96 |
| #49 | +0.14 | SOS Remaining | +0.11 | #66 |
| Offense | ||||
| #55 | +0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #49 |
| #77 | +0.08 | EPA / Play | +0.27 | #21 |
| #85 | 5.6 | Yards / Play | 6.7 | #29 |
| #70 | 41.8% | Success Rate | 51.1% | #10 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #48 | -0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.17 | #36 |
| #81 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #39 |
| #74 | 6.0 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #33 |
| #77 | 43.4% | Success Rate | 38.7% | #37 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MSU Offense | vs |  NEB Defense | ||
| #53 | +0.20 | EPA / Pass | -0.20 | #10 |
| #101 | -0.01 | EPA / Rush | +0.20 | #111 |
| #34 | 52.6% | Available Yards % | 33.6% | #13 |
| #5 | Own 35 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #20 |
| #75 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #66 |
| T-#60 | 42.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 28.2% | #9 |
| #122 | 8.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #64 |
| MSU Defense | vs | NEB Offense | ||
| #69 | +0.13 | EPA / Pass | +0.38 | #19 |
| #93 | +0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #57 |
| #82 | 49.8% | Available Yards % | 59.0% | #18 |
| #72 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #16 |
| #89 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.16 | #28 |
| T-#70 | 42.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.0% | T-#23 |
| #62 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #39 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#123 | 3.3 | Sacks Taken | 3.3 | T-#123 |
| T-#25 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#25 |
| T-#91 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#48 |
| T-#40 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.7 | T-#17 |
| T-#51 | 5.3 | Penalties | 4.0 | T-#15 |
| #54 | 47.7 | Penalty Yards | 35.7 | T-#21 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#99 | 1.3 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#109 |
| T-#103 | 0.3 | INTs | 0.3 | T-#103 |
| T-#30 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#7 |
| T-#74 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#49 |
| T-#31 | 7.3 | Penalties Drawn | 3.0 | T-#134 |
| T-#86 | 49.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 21.3 | #136 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#41 | 7-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-8 | T-#118 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jonathan Smith | Head Coach | Matt Rhule | ||
| T-#90 | 2 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#50 |
| #94 | 43-50 | Career Record | 66-62 | #76 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Aidan Chiles | QB | Dylan Raiola | ||
| #28 | +0.49 | EPA / Att | +0.51 | #21 |
| #42 | 50.0% | Success Rate | 59.4% | #5 |
| #33 | 1.66 | Explosiveness | 1.32 | #108 |
| #70 | 4.7% | Sack Rate | 6.1% | #98 |
| #31 | +0.47 | Rush EPA | +0.31 | #66 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.3thWR | Omari Kelly+42.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Emmett Johnson+47.1 | #12RB |
| 83.0thWR | Nick Marsh+28.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Jacory Barney Jr.+26.9 | 81.9thWR |
| 86.7thDB | Malik Spencer+11.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Javin Wright+17.6 | 96.3thLB |
| 83.9thDB | Malcolm Bell+10.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | DeShon Singleton+15.5 | 93.2thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#20 |
| T-#39 | 14 | 4★ Players | 31 | T-#20 |
| #31 | 57 | 3★ Players | 47 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||