-3.5(-110)
SPREAD
+3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 55.5(-110)
U 55.5(-110)-145
MONEYLINEDUKE 59%
+145
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #31 | +0.16 | SOS Played | -0.00 | #86 |
| #71 | +0.07 | SOS Remaining | +0.12 | #60 |
| Offense | ||||
| #21 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.12 | #94 |
| #29 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | -0.00 | #109 |
| #18 | 7.0 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #88 |
| #26 | 47.5% | Success Rate | 40.1% | #82 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #39 | -0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.04 | #76 |
| #69 | +0.11 | EPA / Play | +0.06 | #51 |
| #113 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #56 |
| #63 | 41.5% | Success Rate | 39.4% | #44 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 DUKE Offense | vs |  CAL Defense | ||
| #25 | +0.34 | EPA / Pass | +0.04 | #43 |
| #59 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.09 | #73 |
| #21 | 58.2% | Available Yards % | 40.7% | #41 |
| #36 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #55 |
| #31 | +0.15 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #54 |
| #37 | 46.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.2% | #44 |
| #94 | 7.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.2 | #11 |
| DUKE Defense | vs | CAL Offense | ||
| #96 | +0.27 | EPA / Pass | +0.09 | #88 |
| #16 | -0.07 | EPA / Rush | -0.13 | #125 |
| #97 | 52.6% | Available Yards % | 42.9% | #82 |
| #78 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #19 |
| #67 | +0.05 | Early Downs EPA | -0.05 | #113 |
| #72 | 42.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.4% | #69 |
| #16 | 8.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #51 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#60 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 1.8 | T-#60 |
| T-#38 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#69 |
| T-#123 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#30 |
| T-#91 | 1.5 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#40 |
| T-#113 | 8.0 | Penalties | 7.8 | T-#108 |
| #137 | 90.5 | Penalty Yards | 54.0 | #70 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#55 | 2.0 | Sacks | 1.3 | T-#105 |
| T-#29 | 1.0 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#29 |
| T-#7 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#48 |
| T-#10 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 1.5 | T-#39 |
| T-#64 | 6.3 | Penalties Drawn | 8.3 | T-#11 |
| #30 | 63.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 72.3 | T-#15 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 7-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-8 | T-#103 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Manny Diaz | Head Coach | Justin Wilcox | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 9 | T-#125 |
| #39 | 39-24 | Career Record | 48-55 | #93 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Darian Mensah | QB | Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | ||
| #17 | +0.55 | EPA / Att | +0.08 | #110 |
| #21 | 53.1% | Success Rate | 43.6% | #82 |
| #53 | 1.54 | Explosiveness | 1.31 | #111 |
| #42 | 3.3% | Sack Rate | 2.6% | #29 |
| #124 | -0.13 | Rush EPA | -0.18 | #129 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #16WR | Cooper Barkate+64.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Jacob De Jesus+54.4 | 96.9thWR |
| #20RB | Nate Sheppard+38.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Trond Grizzell+53.1 | 96.3thWR |
| 97.1thLB | Luke Mergott+18.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Hezekiah Masses+30.1 | #6DB |
| 95.4thDB | Chandler Rivers+17.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Cade Uluave+16.9 | 95.8thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| T-#6 | 67 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#50 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||