+10.5(-110)
SPREAD
-10.5(-110)
TOTAL · 49.5
O 49.5(-110)U 49.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)+390
MONEYLINEMIA 81%
-425
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #28 | +0.13 | SOS Played | +0.35 | #2 |
| #54 | +0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.23 | #18 |
| Offense | ||||
| #51 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.20 | #11 |
| #65 | +0.12 | EPA / Play | +0.20 | #34 |
| #49 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #64 |
| #70 | 41.5% | Success Rate | 47.0% | #27 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #3 | -0.40 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.44 | #1 |
| #2 | -0.16 | EPA / Play | -0.07 | #10 |
| #6 | 4.6 | Yards / Play | 5.0 | #27 |
| #8 | 34.3% | Success Rate | 36.6% | #16 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 LOU Offense | vs |  MIA Defense | ||
| #55 | +0.17 | EPA / Pass | -0.08 | #16 |
| #83 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | -0.07 | #16 |
| #83 | 42.5% | Available Yards % | 35.3% | #16 |
| #11 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #6 |
| #72 | +0.05 | Early Downs EPA | -0.10 | #16 |
| #55 | 43.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 34.3% | #18 |
| #119 | 8.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #63 |
| LOU Defense | vs | MIA Offense | ||
| #2 | -0.35 | EPA / Pass | +0.34 | #21 |
| #52 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.09 | #67 |
| #11 | 32.4% | Available Yards % | 47.5% | #57 |
| #73 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #12 |
| #4 | -0.17 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #52 |
| #9 | 32.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 49.2% | #21 |
| T-#65 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.2 | #16 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#123 | 3.3 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#15 |
| T-#32 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#60 |
| T-#108 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#76 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 0.8 | #21 |
| #77 | 6.3 | Penalties | 8.5 | T-#125 |
| #101 | 64.0 | Penalty Yards | 66.0 | #106 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#31 | 2.5 | Sacks | 2.8 | #24 |
| T-#13 | 1.5 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#34 |
| T-#30 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.8 | T-#30 |
| #5 | 2.3 | Takeaways | 1.8 | #33 |
| #18 | 7.8 | Penalties Drawn | 3.8 | #134 |
| #41 | 61.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 27.5 | #134 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#126 | 4-9 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 11-5 | #20 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jeff Brohm | Head Coach | Mario Cristobal | ||
| T-#50 | 4 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#36 |
| #37 | 94-56 | Career Record | 97-78 | #63 |
| Situation | ||||
| 13 days | Rest | 13 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Miller Moss | QB | Carson Beck | ||
| #69 | +0.26 | EPA / Att | +0.45 | #21 |
| #57 | 47.2% | Success Rate | 53.6% | #10 |
| #77 | 1.46 | Explosiveness | 1.43 | #91 |
| #96 | 5.8% | Sack Rate | 2.1% | #16 |
| #7 | +0.60 | Rush EPA | +0.29 | #67 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.2thWR | Chris Bell+57.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Malachi Toney+60.4 | 97.7thWR |
| 92.2thRB | Keyjuan Brown+26.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Keelan Marion+49.2 | 95.5thWR |
| #19LB | Antonio Watts+22.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jakobe Thomas+29.5 | #8DB |
| 97.9thLB | TJ Quinn+20.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bryce Fitzgerald+29.5 | #9DB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#9 |
| T-#39 | 14 | 4★ Players | 39 | #15 |
| T-#74 | 45 | 3★ Players | 31 | T-#111 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||