+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 66.5
O 66.5(-110)U 67.5(-110)
U 67.5(-110)+140
MONEYLINETCU 60%
-150
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #74 | +0.03 | SOS Played | +0.03 | #76 |
| #49 | +0.14 | SOS Remaining | +0.17 | #38 |
| Offense | ||||
| #27 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.04 | #48 |
| #29 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #36 |
| #21 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 6.4 | #32 |
| #32 | 45.9% | Success Rate | 44.3% | #49 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #95 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #69 |
| #90 | +0.16 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #72 |
| #89 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #78 |
| #99 | 44.9% | Success Rate | 38.5% | #30 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BAY Offense | vs |  TCU Defense | ||
| #15 | +0.38 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #91 |
| #106 | +0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.01 | #40 |
| #17 | 58.0% | Available Yards % | 43.1% | #46 |
| #54 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #115 |
| #17 | +0.22 | Early Downs EPA | -0.01 | #41 |
| #48 | 44.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 45.3% | #96 |
| #23 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.8 | #22 |
| BAY Defense | vs | TCU Offense | ||
| #76 | +0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.25 | #36 |
| #96 | +0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #60 |
| #105 | 52.1% | Available Yards % | 48.9% | #52 |
| #45 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #36 |
| #83 | +0.08 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #73 |
| T-#72 | 42.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.0% | T-#16 |
| #40 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.4 | #127 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#55 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 2.2 | T-#85 |
| T-#23 | 0.4 | INTs Thrown | 1.2 | T-#113 |
| T-#132 | 1.2 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#51 |
| T-#100 | 1.6 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#100 |
| T-#87 | 6.8 | Penalties | 7.4 | T-#107 |
| T-#114 | 67.8 | Penalty Yards | 67.8 | T-#114 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#118 | 1.0 | Sacks | 2.4 | T-#34 |
| T-#98 | 0.4 | INTs | 1.2 | T-#22 |
| T-#126 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.8 | T-#19 |
| T-#127 | 0.4 | Takeaways | 2.0 | T-#13 |
| T-#47 | 6.6 | Penalties Drawn | 5.6 | T-#91 |
| #17 | 69.6 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 46.8 | #99 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#136 | 2-10 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 7-6 | T-#50 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Aranda | Head Coach | Sonny Dykes | ||
| T-#18 | 7 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#36 |
| T-#83 | 36-37 | Career Record | 107-79 | #55 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Sawyer Robertson | QB | Josh Hoover | ||
| #48 | +0.33 | EPA / Att | +0.43 | #27 |
| #26 | 50.2% | Success Rate | 48.8% | #39 |
| #69 | 1.48 | Explosiveness | 1.81 | #5 |
| #51 | 4.0% | Sack Rate | 4.0% | #52 |
| #50 | +0.36 | Rush EPA | +0.35 | #52 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.5thWR | Josh Cameron+40.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Eric McAlister+63.7 | #17WR |
| 90.2thWR | Ashtyn Hawkins+37.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Dwyer+44.2 | 93.9thWR |
| 92.9thDB | DJ Coleman+15.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jamel Johnson+26.7 | #21DB |
| 92.1thDB | Jacob Redding+14.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bud Clark+23.1 | 98.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#39 | 14 | 4★ Players | 20 | #29 |
| T-#11 | 65 | 3★ Players | 53 | T-#41 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||