FINAL
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
-16.5(-110)
SPREAD
+16.5(-110)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)-800
MONEYLINEBUF 89%
+600
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #131 | -0.13 | SOS Played | +0.05 | #63 |
| #131 | -0.18 | SOS Remaining | -0.15 | #125 |
| Offense | ||||
| #109 | -0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.34 | #135 |
| #77 | +0.09 | EPA / Play | -0.26 | #137 |
| #113 | 5.1 | Yards / Play | 3.5 | #137 |
| #112 | 37.1% | Success Rate | 31.1% | #132 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #104 | +0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.13 | #127 |
| #85 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.27 | #125 |
| #37 | 5.4 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #108 |
| #68 | 42.1% | Success Rate | 50.9% | #134 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| BUF Offense | vs | MASS Defense | ||
| #56 | +0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.48 | #134 |
| #101 | +0.01 | EPA / Rush | +0.12 | #82 |
| #113 | 37.9% | Available Yards % | 57.2% | #123 |
| #100 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #122 |
| #43 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.19 | #121 |
| #115 | 34.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 56.3% | #135 |
| #21 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.5 | #136 |
| BUF Defense | vs | MASS Offense | ||
| #89 | +0.21 | EPA / Pass | -0.30 | #135 |
| #65 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | -0.19 | #136 |
| #68 | 45.9% | Available Yards % | 24.8% | #137 |
| #72 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #102 |
| #52 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | -0.17 | #131 |
| #130 | 52.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 22.2% | #137 |
| #132 | 6.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 9.1 | #134 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#10 | 0.8 | Sacks Taken | 3.4 | T-#128 |
| T-#7 | 0.2 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#91 |
| T-#83 | 0.6 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#18 |
| T-#22 | 0.8 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#59 |
| T-#19 | 4.6 | Penalties | 4.8 | T-#21 |
| #30 | 42.2 | Penalty Yards | 35.4 | #18 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#26 | 2.6 | Sacks | 1.4 | T-#97 |
| T-#98 | 0.4 | INTs | 0.2 | T-#122 |
| T-#59 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#59 |
| T-#100 | 0.8 | Takeaways | 0.6 | T-#117 |
| #118 | 4.6 | Penalties Drawn | 3.8 | T-#130 |
| T-#117 | 38.4 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 37.2 | #122 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#114 | 4-7 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 3-9 | T-#129 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pete Lembo | Head Coach | Joe Harasymiak | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#90 |
| #66 | 47-40 | Career Record | 0-12 | T-#139 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Ta'Quan Roberson | QB | AJ Hairston | ||
| #54 | +0.31 | EPA / Att | -0.10 | #129 |
| #106 | 41.0% | Success Rate | 37.9% | #125 |
| #35 | 1.59 | Explosiveness | 1.27 | #119 |
| #5 | 0.7% | Sack Rate | 5.5% | #92 |
| #24 | +0.47 | Rush EPA | -0.13 | #128 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.6thWR | Victor Snow+49.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Jacquon Gibson+19.5 | 74.0thWR |
| 92.1thWR | Nik McMillan+41.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Donnie Gray+16.8 | 71.1thWR |
| 95.7thLB | Red Murdock+16.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Marques White+13.5 | 96.0thDL |
| 95.2thLB | Mitchell Gonser+16.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Timmy Hinspeter+10.4 | 85.1thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#112 | 1 | 4★ Players | 1 | T-#112 |
| T-#65 | 47 | 3★ Players | 32 | T-#108 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||