-8(-110)
SPREAD
+8.5(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)U 49.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)-230
MONEYLINETEX 70%
+270
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #53 | +0.08 | SOS Played | +0.16 | #19 |
| #6 | +0.27 | SOS Remaining | +0.23 | #17 |
| Offense | ||||
| #38 | +0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #41 |
| #92 | +0.07 | EPA / Play | +0.13 | #59 |
| #72 | 5.8 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #79 |
| #96 | 39.6% | Success Rate | 44.0% | #45 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #13 | -0.23 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.16 | #32 |
| #5 | -0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.10 | #56 |
| #6 | 4.6 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #75 |
| #14 | 36.2% | Success Rate | 42.2% | #67 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TEX Offense | vs |  MSST Defense | ||
| #89 | +0.08 | EPA / Pass | +0.08 | #51 |
| #75 | +0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #77 |
| #96 | 41.4% | Available Yards % | 43.9% | #53 |
| #9 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #22 |
| #69 | +0.05 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #79 |
| #106 | 37.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 39.1% | #46 |
| #125 | 8.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #102 |
| TEX Defense | vs | MSST Offense | ||
| #16 | -0.07 | EPA / Pass | +0.13 | #73 |
| #5 | -0.13 | EPA / Rush | +0.13 | #47 |
| #7 | 31.2% | Available Yards % | 41.6% | #95 |
| #6 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #50 |
| #12 | -0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.00 | #98 |
| #7 | 32.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 46.0% | #38 |
| #12 | 7.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #105 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#69 | 1.9 | Sacks Taken | 3.2 | T-#121 |
| T-#65 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 0.7 | T-#46 |
| T-#9 | 0.1 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#69 |
| T-#32 | 0.9 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#58 |
| T-#117 | 7.9 | Penalties | 7.8 | T-#114 |
| #111 | 66.3 | Penalty Yards | 74.7 | T-#130 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #21 | 2.7 | Sacks | 1.5 | T-#92 |
| T-#23 | 1.3 | INTs | 1.5 | T-#8 |
| T-#44 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#111 |
| #20 | 1.9 | Takeaways | 1.7 | T-#28 |
| #123 | 4.6 | Penalties Drawn | 7.2 | T-#30 |
| #132 | 30.4 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 57.5 | #56 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#103 | 5-8 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 8-5 | T-#28 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Steve Sarkisian | Head Coach | Jeff Lebby | ||
| T-#26 | 6 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| #35 | 91-53 | Career Record | 7-18 | #130 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Arch Manning | QB | Blake Shapen | ||
| #100 | +0.17 | EPA / Att | +0.31 | #52 |
| #120 | 38.0% | Success Rate | 43.2% | #87 |
| #6 | 1.75 | Explosiveness | 1.69 | #15 |
| #101 | 6.0% | Sack Rate | 8.4% | #120 |
| #37 | +0.42 | Rush EPA | -0.16 | #128 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 86.2thWR | DeAndre Moore Jr.+31.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Brenen Thompson+75.4 | #4WR |
| 81.8thWR | Emmett Mosley V+26.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Anthony Evans III+36.4 | 89.7thWR |
| #22LB | Colin Simmons+21.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Brylan Lanier+21.7 | 97.7thDB |
| 95.6thDB | Jelani McDonald+18.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kelley Jones+16.6 | 94.3thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| #3 | 14 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#9 | 45 | 4★ Players | 26 | #24 |
| T-#127 | 22 | 3★ Players | 35 | #102 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||