+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-110)
TOTAL · 65.5
O 65.5(-110)U 66(-110)
U 66(-110)+185
MONEYLINEUSM 61%
-155
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #113 | -0.07 | SOS Played | -0.10 | #119 |
| #118 | -0.14 | SOS Remaining | -0.15 | #122 |
| Offense | ||||
| #36 | +0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #70 |
| #21 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #33 |
| #14 | 6.9 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #28 |
| #54 | 43.0% | Success Rate | 41.3% | #80 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #131 | +0.13 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #63 |
| #120 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | +0.04 | #37 |
| #105 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #65 |
| #105 | 44.8% | Success Rate | 41.5% | #61 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TXST Offense | vs |  USM Defense | ||
| #31 | +0.26 | EPA / Pass | -0.06 | #17 |
| #19 | +0.21 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #103 |
| #22 | 54.9% | Available Yards % | 43.9% | #58 |
| #72 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #32 |
| #12 | +0.21 | Early Downs EPA | -0.12 | #7 |
| #55 | 43.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 49.3% | #125 |
| #21 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #47 |
| TXST Defense | vs | USM Offense | ||
| #113 | +0.28 | EPA / Pass | +0.27 | #27 |
| #111 | +0.17 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #52 |
| #120 | 55.5% | Available Yards % | 47.4% | #56 |
| #131 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #49 |
| #131 | +0.20 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #44 |
| #96 | 44.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.0% | #63 |
| #38 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #24 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#101 | 2.5 | Sacks Taken | 1.5 | T-#38 |
| T-#63 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#63 |
| T-#111 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#30 |
| T-#93 | 1.5 | Turnovers | 1.1 | T-#45 |
| T-#106 | 7.3 | Penalties | 7.8 | T-#116 |
| T-#91 | 59.4 | Penalty Yards | 63.3 | #108 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#38 | 2.3 | Sacks | 2.5 | T-#29 |
| T-#99 | 0.5 | INTs | 2.3 | #1 |
| T-#133 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.6 | T-#36 |
| #135 | 0.5 | Takeaways | 2.9 | #1 |
| T-#76 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 8.5 | #3 |
| T-#77 | 52.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 71.9 | #6 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#103 | 5-8 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-7 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| G.J. Kinne | Head Coach | Charles Huff | ||
| T-#50 | 4 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#90 |
| #50 | 23-16 | Career Record | 39-25 | #57 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Brad Jackson | QB | Braylon Braxton | ||
| #35 | +0.36 | EPA / Att | +0.32 | #48 |
| #40 | 47.5% | Success Rate | 44.4% | #72 |
| #28 | 1.60 | Explosiveness | 1.65 | #19 |
| #101 | 6.3% | Sack Rate | 4.6% | #64 |
| #37 | +0.38 | Rush EPA | +0.14 | #99 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #3WR | Beau Sparks+79.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Elijah Metcalf+32.5 | 87.3thWR |
| #11RB | Lincoln Pare+47.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Carl Chester+26.8 | 81.7thWR |
| 98.0thDB | Jaden Rios+22.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Josh Moten+28.5 | #12DB |
| 96.3thDL | Kalil Alexander+13.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ian Foster+21.3 | 97.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#75 | 5 | 4★ Players | 7 | T-#62 |
| T-#50 | 51 | 3★ Players | 46 | #73 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||