+6.5(-110)
SPREAD
-6.5(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)U 48.5(-110)
U 48.5(-110)+205
MONEYLINEUSC 70%
-230
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #61 | +0.05 | SOS Played | +0.05 | #60 |
| #38 | +0.16 | SOS Remaining | +0.22 | #21 |
| Offense | ||||
| #71 | -0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.25 | #2 |
| #68 | +0.11 | EPA / Play | +0.38 | #1 |
| #106 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 8.0 | #1 |
| #61 | 42.5% | Success Rate | 53.3% | #2 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #6 | -0.27 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.14 | #35 |
| #6 | -0.08 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #44 |
| #12 | 4.9 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #83 |
| #45 | 40.1% | Success Rate | 43.3% | #85 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 IOWA Offense | vs |  USC Defense | ||
| #95 | +0.03 | EPA / Pass | +0.01 | #35 |
| #28 | +0.17 | EPA / Rush | +0.09 | #68 |
| #62 | 46.8% | Available Yards % | 46.3% | #73 |
| #5 | Own 35 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #26 |
| #76 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #66 |
| #45 | 44.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.6% | #37 |
| #8 | 6.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.3 | T-#43 |
| IOWA Defense | vs | USC Offense | ||
| #4 | -0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.46 | #3 |
| #24 | +0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.30 | #5 |
| #6 | 32.1% | Available Yards % | 66.2% | #1 |
| #22 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #122 |
| #31 | -0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.24 | #5 |
| #11 | 34.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 58.0% | #1 |
| #126 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | #70 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#38 | 1.5 | Sacks Taken | 1.1 | T-#15 |
| T-#29 | 0.6 | INTs Thrown | 0.7 | T-#54 |
| T-#18 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.7 | T-#109 |
| T-#15 | 0.9 | Turnovers | 1.3 | T-#78 |
| #1 | 2.3 | Penalties | 6.1 | T-#62 |
| #1 | 20.5 | Penalty Yards | 54.7 | #69 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#70 | 1.9 | Sacks | 2.7 | T-#20 |
| T-#14 | 1.3 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#33 |
| T-#104 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.7 | T-#28 |
| T-#41 | 1.5 | Takeaways | 1.7 | T-#29 |
| T-#135 | 3.5 | Penalties Drawn | 4.4 | T-#127 |
| #133 | 31.1 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 46.1 | #103 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#13 | 9-4 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-8 | T-#103 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Kirk Ferentz | Head Coach | Lincoln Riley | ||
| #1 | 28 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#36 |
| #38 | 213-128 | Career Record | 90-28 | #12 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Mark Gronowski | QB | Jayden Maiava | ||
| #106 | +0.14 | EPA / Att | +0.50 | #6 |
| #115 | 39.0% | Success Rate | 55.1% | #5 |
| #99 | 1.38 | Explosiveness | 1.61 | #24 |
| #98 | 6.2% | Sack Rate | 1.5% | #4 |
| #12 | +0.55 | Rush EPA | +0.70 | #2 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #23TE | DJ Vonnahme+26.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Makai Lemon+63.7 | #18WR |
| 71.7thWR | Sam Phillips+17.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Ja'Kobi Lane+54.4 | 97.0thWR |
| 98.3thDB | Zach Lutmer+23.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bishop Fitzgerald+26.4 | #22DB |
| 97.0thDL | Max Llewellyn+15.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jahkeem Stewart+13.2 | 95.6thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 3 | T-#17 |
| T-#45 | 13 | 4★ Players | 36 | #18 |
| T-#25 | 59 | 3★ Players | 33 | T-#104 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||