-6.5(-110)
SPREAD
+7(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)U 49.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)-245
MONEYLINEPSU 71%
+215
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #28 | +0.13 | SOS Played | +0.10 | #40 |
| #79 | +0.02 | SOS Remaining | +0.12 | #52 |
| Offense | ||||
| #37 | +0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.05 | #78 |
| #64 | +0.11 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #93 |
| #110 | 5.2 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #107 |
| #37 | 44.4% | Success Rate | 40.9% | #84 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #71 | -0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.03 | #70 |
| #94 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.17 | #103 |
| #35 | 5.4 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #76 |
| #83 | 43.3% | Success Rate | 44.1% | #94 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 PSU Offense | vs |  MSU Defense | ||
| #67 | +0.11 | EPA / Pass | +0.15 | #77 |
| #51 | +0.12 | EPA / Rush | +0.19 | #121 |
| #49 | 48.5% | Available Yards % | 50.3% | #100 |
| #7 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #133 |
| #65 | +0.06 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #110 |
| #27 | 47.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.5% | #97 |
| #5 | 5.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #89 |
| PSU Defense | vs | MSU Offense | ||
| #84 | +0.18 | EPA / Pass | +0.08 | #76 |
| #98 | +0.13 | EPA / Rush | +0.02 | #95 |
| #87 | 48.7% | Available Yards % | 42.5% | #92 |
| #96 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #67 |
| #61 | +0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.03 | #78 |
| #103 | 45.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.6% | #94 |
| #93 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #103 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#48 | 1.6 | Sacks Taken | 3.8 | #131 |
| T-#63 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 0.4 | T-#12 |
| T-#30 | 0.4 | Fumbles Lost | 0.6 | T-#94 |
| T-#45 | 1.1 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#29 |
| #6 | 3.6 | Penalties | 6.4 | T-#73 |
| #8 | 32.6 | Penalty Yards | 56.1 | #77 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#95 | 1.6 | Sacks | 1.6 | T-#95 |
| T-#99 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.3 | T-#128 |
| T-#36 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#85 |
| T-#73 | 1.1 | Takeaways | 0.6 | T-#130 |
| T-#135 | 3.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.6 | T-#91 |
| #137 | 25.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 40.6 | #116 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#103 | 5-8 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 7-5 | T-#41 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Terry Smith | Head Coach | Jonathan Smith | ||
| T-#125 | 1 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#90 |
| T-#58 | 4-3 | Career Record | 43-50 | #94 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Ethan Grunkemeyer | QB | Alessio Milivojevic | ||
| #102 | +0.15 | EPA / Att | +0.40 | #27 |
| #92 | 42.9% | Success Rate | 50.8% | #19 |
| #96 | 1.40 | Explosiveness | 1.66 | #18 |
| #91 | 5.8% | Sack Rate | 12.5% | #127 |
| #115 | +0.00 | Rush EPA | +0.02 | #113 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #13RB | Kaytron Allen+45.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Omari Kelly+42.0 | 92.3thWR |
| 89.3thWR | Devonte Ross+35.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Nick Marsh+28.2 | 83.0thWR |
| 98.0thDL | Dani Dennis-Sutton+17.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Malik Spencer+11.7 | 86.7thDB |
| 88.7thLB | Amare Campbell+11.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Malcolm Bell+10.4 | 83.9thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#9 | 4 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#3 | 55 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| T-#123 | 24 | 3★ Players | 57 | #31 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||