+5.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 44.5
O 44.5(-110)
U 44.5(-110)
U 44.5(-110)+170
MONEYLINEMINN 62%
-165
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #30 | +0.12 | SOS Played | +0.03 | #73 |
| #65 | +0.07 | SOS Remaining | +0.02 | #79 |
| Offense | ||||
| #82 | -0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.11 | #98 |
| #104 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #105 |
| #114 | 5.0 | Yards / Play | 5.1 | #112 |
| #88 | 40.4% | Success Rate | 38.6% | #106 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #74 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.00 | #97 |
| #107 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.15 | #93 |
| #89 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #50 |
| #108 | 45.7% | Success Rate | 44.4% | #98 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MSU Offense | vs |  MINN Defense | ||
| #90 | +0.06 | EPA / Pass | +0.15 | #78 |
| #108 | -0.00 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #99 |
| #97 | 41.8% | Available Yards % | 42.4% | #36 |
| #48 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #90 |
| #87 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #74 |
| T-#87 | 39.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.0% | #86 |
| #106 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.6 | #30 |
| MSU Defense | vs | MINN Offense | ||
| #88 | +0.19 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #63 |
| #120 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | -0.15 | #135 |
| #95 | 51.1% | Available Yards % | 38.4% | #115 |
| #133 | Own 35 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #96 |
| #113 | +0.15 | Early Downs EPA | -0.02 | #105 |
| #102 | 45.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.7% | #67 |
| #85 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #88 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#124 | 3.3 | Sacks Taken | 2.0 | T-#75 |
| T-#20 | 0.4 | INTs Thrown | 0.9 | T-#78 |
| T-#108 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.1 | T-#9 |
| T-#51 | 1.1 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#34 |
| T-#53 | 5.9 | Penalties | 3.3 | T-#3 |
| #54 | 50.4 | Penalty Yards | 28.9 | #5 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#79 | 1.7 | Sacks | 3.3 | T-#5 |
| T-#121 | 0.3 | INTs | 0.6 | T-#78 |
| T-#64 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#91 |
| T-#116 | 0.7 | Takeaways | 0.9 | T-#98 |
| T-#75 | 6.1 | Penalties Drawn | 5.6 | T-#93 |
| #102 | 45.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 50.1 | #90 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#41 | 7-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-7 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jonathan Smith | Head Coach | P.J. Fleck | ||
| T-#90 | 2 | Seasons at School | 10 | #13 |
| #94 | 43-50 | Career Record | 96-66 | #49 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Aidan Chiles | QB | Drake Lindsey | ||
| #57 | +0.30 | EPA / Att | +0.23 | #83 |
| #78 | 44.1% | Success Rate | 46.2% | #55 |
| #89 | 1.44 | Explosiveness | 1.32 | #113 |
| #80 | 5.2% | Sack Rate | 5.2% | #81 |
| #11 | +0.55 | Rush EPA | +0.12 | #101 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.3thWR | Omari Kelly+42.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Le'Meke Brockington+33.5 | 87.9thWR |
| 83.0thWR | Nick Marsh+28.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Jalen Smith+23.1 | 78.7thWR |
| 86.7thDB | Malik Spencer+11.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | John Nestor+34.6 | #2DB |
| 83.9thDB | Malcolm Bell+10.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Anthony Smith+24.8 | #2DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#39 | 14 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| #31 | 57 | 3★ Players | 65 | T-#11 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||