FINAL
Caesars SuperdomeNEUTRAL
+3(-110)
SPREAD
-2.5(-110)
TOTAL · 59
O 59(-110)U 59.5(-110)
U 59.5(-110)+120
MONEYLINEUSM 38%
+160
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #121 | -0.10 | SOS Played | -0.11 | #127 |
| #67 | -0.05 | SOS Remaining | -0.09 | #71 |
| Offense | ||||
| #107 | -0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #91 |
| #89 | +0.05 | EPA / Play | +0.13 | #53 |
| #48 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 6.3 | #31 |
| #49 | 43.5% | Success Rate | 40.3% | #89 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #73 | -0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.00 | #86 |
| #28 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.09 | #62 |
| #78 | 6.0 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #74 |
| #15 | 36.9% | Success Rate | 43.6% | T-#89 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| WKU Offense | vs | USM Defense | ||
| #99 | +0.03 | EPA / Pass | +0.04 | #41 |
| #70 | +0.09 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #86 |
| #82 | 43.5% | Available Yards % | 45.8% | #64 |
| #121 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #36 |
| #71 | +0.05 | Early Downs EPA | -0.03 | #25 |
| T-#61 | 42.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.4% | #125 |
| #34 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | #67 |
| WKU Defense | vs | USM Offense | ||
| #36 | +0.02 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #48 |
| #44 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.10 | #64 |
| #85 | 48.8% | Available Yards % | 46.6% | #64 |
| #88 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #66 |
| #58 | +0.05 | Early Downs EPA | +0.07 | #55 |
| #10 | 33.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.0% | T-#64 |
| #47 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #39 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#64 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 1.5 | T-#38 |
| T-#99 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.9 | T-#86 |
| T-#95 | 0.6 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#26 |
| T-#107 | 1.6 | Turnovers | 1.3 | T-#67 |
| T-#45 | 5.5 | Penalties | 7.4 | T-#117 |
| #74 | 53.9 | Penalty Yards | 58.1 | T-#89 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#120 | 1.2 | Sacks | 2.2 | T-#46 |
| T-#67 | 0.7 | INTs | 1.7 | T-#3 |
| T-#91 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#69 |
| T-#88 | 1.1 | Takeaways | 2.2 | T-#4 |
| T-#14 | 7.5 | Penalties Drawn | 8.1 | #4 |
| #22 | 63.6 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 68.6 | #7 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#3 | 10-3 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-7 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tyson Helton | Head Coach | Charles Huff | ||
| T-#16 | 8 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#90 |
| #44 | 57-36 | Career Record | 39-25 | #57 |
| Situation | ||||
| 24 days | Rest | 24 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Rodney Tisdale Jr. | QB | Braylon Braxton | ||
| #114 | +0.11 | EPA / Att | +0.27 | #58 |
| #62 | 45.1% | Success Rate | 42.1% | #95 |
| #120 | 1.32 | Explosiveness | 1.70 | #10 |
| #1 | 0.0% | Sack Rate | 4.8% | #68 |
| #1 | +0.67 | Rush EPA | +0.10 | #105 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #7WR | Matthew Henry+69.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Elijah Metcalf+32.5 | 87.3thWR |
| 93.3thWR | K.D. Hutchinson+43.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Carl Chester+26.8 | 81.7thWR |
| 96.2thDB | Jaylen Lewis+19.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Josh Moten+28.5 | #12DB |
| 96.2thDL | Harper Holloman+13.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ian Foster+21.3 | 97.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#112 | 1 | 4★ Players | 7 | T-#62 |
| T-#65 | 47 | 3★ Players | 46 | #73 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||