FINAL
Simmons Bank Liberty StadiumNEUTRAL
-4(-110)
SPREAD
+7.5(-110)
TOTAL · 57.5
O 57.5(-110)U 57.5(-110)
U 57.5(-110)-180
MONEYLINENAVY 64%
+240
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #70 | +0.04 | SOS Played | +0.09 | #51 |
| #34 | +0.15 | SOS Remaining | +0.11 | #41 |
| Offense | ||||
| #17 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.17 | #14 |
| #11 | +0.28 | EPA / Play | +0.28 | #10 |
| #18 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #12 |
| #10 | 48.7% | Success Rate | 47.0% | #15 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #98 | +0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.00 | #87 |
| #114 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.18 | #109 |
| #102 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #83 |
| #79 | 42.8% | Success Rate | 45.0% | #105 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| NAVY Offense | vs | CIN Defense | ||
| #24 | +0.29 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #100 |
| #7 | +0.27 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #91 |
| #13 | 57.5% | Available Yards % | 58.4% | #130 |
| #27 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #22 |
| #12 | +0.19 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #103 |
| #7 | 51.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 45.7% | #99 |
| #13 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.4 | #125 |
| NAVY Defense | vs | CIN Offense | ||
| #112 | +0.27 | EPA / Pass | +0.32 | #15 |
| #83 | +0.13 | EPA / Rush | +0.23 | #15 |
| #119 | 54.2% | Available Yards % | 51.3% | #34 |
| #38 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #104 |
| #95 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.20 | #9 |
| #123 | 48.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.8% | #38 |
| #112 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #63 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#5 | 0.8 | Sacks Taken | 0.6 | #2 |
| T-#20 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#11 |
| T-#95 | 0.6 | Fumbles Lost | 0.6 | T-#95 |
| T-#55 | 1.2 | Turnovers | 1.1 | T-#41 |
| T-#75 | 6.2 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#103 |
| #67 | 53.0 | Penalty Yards | 64.1 | #119 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#67 | 1.9 | Sacks | 1.9 | T-#67 |
| T-#96 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.2 | T-#136 |
| T-#32 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#50 |
| T-#75 | 1.2 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#121 |
| #134 | 3.9 | Penalties Drawn | 5.3 | T-#97 |
| #135 | 30.6 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 40.6 | T-#115 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#103 | 5-8 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 6-7 | T-#78 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Brian Newberry | Head Coach | Scott Satterfield | ||
| T-#50 | 4 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#50 |
| #22 | 26-12 | Career Record | 87-62 | #53 |
| Situation | ||||
| 20 days | Rest | 34 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Blake Horvath | QB | Brendan Sorsby | ||
| #13 | +0.45 | EPA / Att | +0.38 | #24 |
| #44 | 46.5% | Success Rate | 46.4% | #45 |
| #1 | 1.99 | Explosiveness | 1.58 | #28 |
| #49 | 4.0% | Sack Rate | 2.1% | #9 |
| #29 | +0.41 | Rush EPA | +0.47 | #16 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #2WR | Eli Heidenreich+83.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Cyrus Allen+40.9 | 91.6thWR |
| #14RB | Alex Tecza+44.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Jeff Caldwell+34.0 | 88.3thWR |
| 91.1thDB | Phillip Hamilton+14.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Christian Harrison+12.2 | 87.9thDB |
| 89.2thLB | MarcAnthony Parker+12.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 83.0thLB | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#128 | 0 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#75 |
| #135 | 15 | 3★ Players | 55 | T-#35 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||