+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 68.5
O 68.5(-110)U 69.5(-110)
U 69.5(-110)+180
MONEYLINECIN 61%
-155
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #40 | +0.09 | SOS Played | -0.02 | #97 |
| #45 | +0.14 | SOS Remaining | +0.22 | #21 |
| Offense | ||||
| #34 | +0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.14 | #19 |
| #43 | +0.16 | EPA / Play | +0.34 | #6 |
| #46 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 7.2 | #10 |
| #39 | 44.7% | Success Rate | 49.9% | #11 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #81 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #93 |
| #91 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #73 |
| #89 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #88 |
| #107 | 45.5% | Success Rate | 44.6% | #96 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BAY Offense | vs |  CIN Defense | ||
| #30 | +0.29 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #78 |
| #114 | -0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.07 | #58 |
| #28 | 54.1% | Available Yards % | 56.5% | #126 |
| #82 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #3 |
| #30 | +0.14 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #91 |
| #49 | 44.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.6% | #76 |
| #12 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.2 | #127 |
| BAY Defense | vs | CIN Offense | ||
| #89 | +0.21 | EPA / Pass | +0.45 | #5 |
| #76 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.23 | #17 |
| #102 | 51.8% | Available Yards % | 55.9% | #21 |
| #83 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #76 |
| #78 | +0.08 | Early Downs EPA | +0.25 | #9 |
| #69 | 41.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 45.1% | #43 |
| #38 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #82 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#62 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 0.3 | T-#1 |
| T-#74 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 0.2 | T-#5 |
| T-#133 | 1.2 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#69 |
| T-#125 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 0.7 | T-#13 |
| T-#79 | 6.5 | Penalties | 7.3 | T-#105 |
| T-#101 | 63.8 | Penalty Yards | 69.8 | #124 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#127 | 0.8 | Sacks | 2.3 | T-#37 |
| T-#113 | 0.3 | INTs | 0.2 | T-#131 |
| T-#111 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#47 |
| T-#131 | 0.5 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#115 |
| T-#58 | 6.5 | Penalties Drawn | 6.3 | T-#65 |
| #9 | 70.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 47.7 | #101 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#136 | 2-10 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 6-7 | T-#78 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Aranda | Head Coach | Scott Satterfield | ||
| T-#18 | 7 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#50 |
| T-#83 | 36-37 | Career Record | 87-62 | #53 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Sawyer Robertson | QB | Brendan Sorsby | ||
| #77 | +0.26 | EPA / Att | +0.53 | #10 |
| #48 | 47.8% | Success Rate | 51.6% | #16 |
| #68 | 1.48 | Explosiveness | 1.60 | #35 |
| #50 | 3.9% | Sack Rate | 1.1% | #5 |
| #101 | +0.13 | Rush EPA | +0.62 | #5 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.5thWR | Josh Cameron+40.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Cyrus Allen+40.9 | 91.6thWR |
| 90.2thWR | Ashtyn Hawkins+37.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Jeff Caldwell+34.0 | 88.3thWR |
| 92.9thDB | DJ Coleman+15.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Christian Harrison+12.2 | 87.9thDB |
| 92.1thDB | Jacob Redding+14.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 83.0thLB | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#39 | 14 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#75 |
| T-#11 | 65 | 3★ Players | 55 | T-#35 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||