+19.5(-110)
SPREAD
-18.5(-110)
TOTAL · 56
O 56(-110)U 56.5(-110)
U 56.5(-110)+800
MONEYLINETCU 93%
-1350
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #42 | +0.09 | SOS Played | +0.01 | #70 |
| #62 | +0.01 | SOS Remaining | +0.01 | #60 |
| Offense | ||||
| #81 | -0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.09 | #91 |
| #66 | +0.12 | EPA / Play | -0.04 | #103 |
| #9 | 8.2 | Yards / Play | 4.5 | #110 |
| #15 | 51.7% | Success Rate | 34.3% | T-#105 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #124 | +0.22 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.08 | #50 |
| #131 | +0.48 | EPA / Play | -0.02 | #34 |
| #133 | 8.8 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #63 |
| T-#115 | 50.0% | Success Rate | 43.9% | #85 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| ARST Offense | vs | TCU Defense | ||
| #93 | +0.03 | EPA / Pass | +0.08 | #55 |
| #22 | +0.25 | EPA / Rush | -0.15 | #18 |
| #38 | 52.5% | Available Yards % | 46.7% | #72 |
| #44 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #50 |
| #70 | +0.06 | Early Downs EPA | -0.12 | #26 |
| T-#35 | 50.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.3% | T-#38 |
| #106 | 8.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | T-#67 |
| ARST Defense | vs | TCU Offense | ||
| #128 | +0.65 | EPA / Pass | -0.05 | #98 |
| #128 | +0.42 | EPA / Rush | -0.02 | #93 |
| #103 | 55.3% | Available Yards % | 36.4% | #100 |
| #12 | Own 22 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | T-#22 |
| #129 | +0.37 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #74 |
| #123 | 55.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.1% | T-#78 |
| #134 | 4.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #60 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#103 | 3.0 | Sacks Taken | 3.0 | T-#103 |
| #137 | 4.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#91 |
| T-#132 | 4.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#45 |
| T-#30 | 5.0 | Penalties | 11.0 | T-#129 |
| T-#28 | 37.0 | Penalty Yards | 90.0 | T-#132 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#81 | 1.0 | Sacks | 3.0 | T-#21 |
| T-#6 | 2.0 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#86 |
| T-#78 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 2.0 | T-#4 |
| T-#17 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 2.0 | T-#17 |
| T-#112 | 4.0 | Penalties Drawn | 3.0 | T-#124 |
| T-#86 | 45.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 20.0 | T-#127 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#60 | 7-6 | Last Year Record (2025) | 9-4 | T-#26 |
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Butch Jones | Head Coach | Sonny Dykes | ||
| T-#21 | 6 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #70 | 110-91 | Career Record | 107-79 | #61 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 440 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Trey Owens | QB | Jaden Craig | ||
| #73 | +0.26 | EPA / Att | +0.38 | #52 |
| #27 | 53.2% | Success Rate | 49.2% | #55 |
| #78 | 1.50 | Explosiveness | 1.55 | #67 |
| #107 | 7.8% | Sack Rate | 6.0% | #80 |
| #65 | +0.20 | Rush EPA | +0.19 | #66 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #19WR | Hunter Summers+34.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Kari Ashley+33.5 | #2TE |
| 87.7thWR | Jaylen Bonelli+18.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Ed Small+23.0 | 93.1thWR |
| 96.5thLB | Robert Stevens+8.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 92.0thDB | |
| 92.0thDB | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ansel Din-Mbuh+5.7 | 93.6thDL | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#96 | 3 | 4★ Players | 18 | T-#36 |
| T-#27 | 66 | 3★ Players | 64 | T-#33 |
| Transfers | ||||
10 in · 17 out | OFF Transfers | 6 in · 7 out | ||
15 in · 19 out | DEF Transfers | 6 in · 7 out | ||
| 30% | OFF Returning | 24% | ||
| 20% | DEF Returning | 49% | ||