+8(-110)
SPREAD
-7.5(-110)
TOTAL · 52.5
O 52.5(-110)U 52.5(-110)
U 52.5(-110)+270
MONEYLINETTU 75%
-300
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-#81 | -0.06 | SOS Played | -0.06 | T-#81 |
| #41 | +0.04 | SOS Remaining | +0.04 | #44 |
| Offense | ||||
| #40 | +0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.03 | #48 |
| #33 | +0.26 | EPA / Play | +0.22 | #43 |
| #11 | 7.7 | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #105 |
| T-#36 | 47.2% | Success Rate | 41.9% | #60 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #53 | -0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #89 |
| #57 | +0.06 | EPA / Play | +0.17 | #84 |
| #56 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 6.6 | #103 |
| T-#67 | 41.1% | Success Rate | 29.6% | #11 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| HOU Offense | vs | TTU Defense | ||
| #31 | +0.41 | EPA / Pass | +0.25 | #82 |
| #43 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | -0.10 | #33 |
| #13 | 66.5% | Available Yards % | 42.8% | #56 |
| T-#67 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 24 | #17 |
| #49 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.20 | #100 |
| T-#14 | 57.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 27.8% | T-#18 |
| T-#73 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.1 | #23 |
| HOU Defense | vs | TTU Offense | ||
| #69 | +0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.34 | #40 |
| #13 | -0.21 | EPA / Rush | +0.12 | #47 |
| #53 | 41.5% | Available Yards % | 37.3% | #97 |
| #11 | Own 22 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 36 | #16 |
| #101 | +0.20 | Early Downs EPA | -0.05 | #95 |
| T-#27 | 30.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 52.9% | T-#25 |
| T-#48 | 7.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 9.4 | #133 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#23 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 4.0 | T-#122 |
| T-#76 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#91 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#91 |
| T-#96 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#45 |
| T-#124 | 10.0 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#75 |
| T-#95 | 65.0 | Penalty Yards | 70.0 | T-#106 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#9 | 4.0 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#44 |
| T-#86 | 0.0 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#20 |
| T-#78 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#78 |
| T-#111 | 0.0 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#53 |
| T-#94 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 7.0 | T-#49 |
| #95 | 42.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 60.0 | T-#50 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#17 | 10-3 | Last Year Record (2025) | 12-2 | T-#4 |
| T-#53 | 3-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Willie Fritz | Head Coach | Joey McGuire | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #65 | 86-65 | Career Record | 35-18 | #28 |
| Situation | ||||
| 6 days | Rest | 6 days | ||
| 467 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Conner Weigman | QB | Will Hammond | ||
| #16 | +0.66 | EPA / Att | +0.49 | #35 |
| #19 | 57.1% | Success Rate | 53.3% | #25 |
| #22 | 1.83 | Explosiveness | 1.43 | #86 |
| #32 | 2.3% | Sack Rate | 6.3% | #83 |
| #40 | +0.39 | Rush EPA | -0.03 | #96 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.2thWR | Amare Thomas+26.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Kenny Johnson+20.4 | 90.8thWR |
| #7TE | Patrick Overmyer+24.1 | Playmaker · PPA | J'Koby Williams+15.1 | 91.1thRB |
| T-#22DB | Jordan Allen+13.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Austin Romaine+11.5 | #13LB |
| 97.5thDB | Javion White+10.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | John Curry+11.0 | T-#16LB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#18 | 2 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#65 | 8 | 4★ Players | 22 | T-#29 |
| T-#40 | 63 | 3★ Players | 53 | #85 |
| Transfers | ||||
10 in · 10 out | OFF Transfers | 8 in · 10 out | ||
6 in · 6 out | DEF Transfers | 12 in · 11 out | ||
| 82% | OFF Returning | 54% | ||
| 38% | DEF Returning | 37% | ||