+2.5(-110)
SPREAD
-2.5(-110)
TOTAL · 56.5
O 56.5(-110)
U 57.5(-110)
U 57.5(-110)+124
MONEYLINEBAY 57%
-135
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #69 | +0.05 | SOS Played | +0.16 | #17 |
| #41 | +0.16 | SOS Remaining | +0.02 | #80 |
| Offense | ||||
| #82 | -0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.07 | #36 |
| #97 | +0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #61 |
| #71 | 5.8 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #54 |
| #75 | 41.5% | Success Rate | 43.6% | T-#45 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #56 | -0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.04 | #68 |
| #41 | +0.06 | EPA / Play | +0.17 | #99 |
| #28 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #94 |
| #60 | 41.6% | Success Rate | 45.4% | #113 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 HOU Offense | vs |  BAY Defense | ||
| #58 | +0.15 | EPA / Pass | +0.15 | #79 |
| #121 | -0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.18 | #117 |
| #60 | 46.8% | Available Yards % | 50.9% | #102 |
| #30 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #107 |
| #93 | +0.01 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #102 |
| #80 | 40.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 43.1% | #84 |
| #48 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #56 |
| HOU Defense | vs | BAY Offense | ||
| #49 | +0.05 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #51 |
| #49 | +0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.05 | #86 |
| #38 | 41.9% | Available Yards % | 52.6% | #30 |
| #87 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #86 |
| #34 | -0.01 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #56 |
| #42 | 38.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 43.8% | #50 |
| #109 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.4 | #17 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#51 | 1.7 | Sacks Taken | 2.0 | T-#78 |
| T-#79 | 0.9 | INTs Thrown | 0.9 | T-#79 |
| T-#34 | 0.4 | Fumbles Lost | 1.1 | T-#135 |
| T-#72 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#125 |
| T-#19 | 4.6 | Penalties | 6.0 | T-#63 |
| #20 | 40.3 | Penalty Yards | 60.2 | T-#100 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#51 | 2.1 | Sacks | 0.9 | T-#130 |
| T-#44 | 0.9 | INTs | 0.5 | T-#106 |
| T-#79 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.1 | T-#129 |
| T-#57 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 0.6 | T-#129 |
| T-#16 | 7.4 | Penalties Drawn | 6.9 | T-#32 |
| T-#28 | 62.2 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 70.4 | #6 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#13 | 9-4 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 2-10 | T-#136 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Willie Fritz | Head Coach | Dave Aranda | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#18 |
| #60 | 86-65 | Career Record | 36-37 | T-#83 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Conner Weigman | QB | Sawyer Robertson | ||
| #77 | +0.23 | EPA / Att | +0.17 | #91 |
| #84 | 43.1% | Success Rate | 45.1% | #63 |
| #8 | 1.70 | Explosiveness | 1.51 | #61 |
| #62 | 4.5% | Sack Rate | 4.5% | #58 |
| #77 | +0.24 | Rush EPA | +0.27 | #65 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.3thWR | Amare Thomas+58.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Josh Cameron+40.8 | 91.5thWR |
| #1TE | Tanner Koziol+48.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Ashtyn Hawkins+37.0 | 90.2thWR |
| 96.6thDB | Will James+20.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | DJ Coleman+15.3 | 92.9thDB |
| #24DL | Eddie Walls III+18.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jacob Redding+14.6 | 92.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#25 | 1 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#75 | 5 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| T-#38 | 54 | 3★ Players | 65 | T-#11 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||