+3(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-110)
TOTAL · 47
O 47(-110)
U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)+124
MONEYLINEUSU 57%
-130
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | +0.33 | SOS Played | +0.33 | #3 |
| #99 | -0.13 | SOS Remaining | -0.01 | #64 |
| Offense | ||||
| #25 | +0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.34 | #132 |
| #88 | +0.07 | EPA / Play | -0.20 | #134 |
| #108 | 5.1 | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #119 |
| #117 | 35.0% | Success Rate | 27.0% | #135 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #33 | -0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.34 | #5 |
| #55 | +0.09 | EPA / Play | +0.13 | #66 |
| #42 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #68 |
| #56 | 41.0% | Success Rate | 41.5% | T-#61 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TROY Offense | vs |  USU Defense | ||
| #83 | +0.12 | EPA / Pass | +0.18 | #74 |
| #88 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #51 |
| #112 | 35.0% | Available Yards % | 49.9% | #87 |
| #105 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #70 |
| #105 | -0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #49 |
| T-#64 | 41.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.4% | T-#88 |
| #63 | 6.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.1 | #115 |
| TROY Defense | vs | USU Offense | ||
| #82 | +0.21 | EPA / Pass | -0.09 | #109 |
| #22 | -0.08 | EPA / Rush | -0.34 | #138 |
| #25 | 35.5% | Available Yards % | 28.9% | #130 |
| #82 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #49 |
| #48 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | -0.30 | #137 |
| #22 | 30.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.3% | T-#104 |
| #1 | 9.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.3 | #116 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#122 | 3.5 | Sacks Taken | 3.5 | T-#122 |
| T-#42 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 2.0 | T-#130 |
| T-#62 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#42 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#103 |
| T-#46 | 6.0 | Penalties | 6.5 | T-#60 |
| #77 | 57.5 | Penalty Yards | 51.5 | #54 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#43 | 2.0 | Sacks | 1.5 | T-#66 |
| T-#73 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#104 |
| T-#99 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#50 |
| T-#109 | 0.5 | Takeaways | 0.5 | T-#109 |
| T-#43 | 7.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.5 | T-#93 |
| #54 | 62.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 43.5 | #100 |
| Record | ||||
| #59 | 8-6 | Last Year Record (2025) | 6-7 | T-#80 |
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Gerad Parker | Head Coach | Bronco Mendenhall | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #108 | 12-20 | Career Record | 146-95 | #46 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,579 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Will Crowder | QB | Grady Brosterhous | ||
| #72 | +0.29 | EPA / Att | -0.01 | #121 |
| #115 | 38.6% | Success Rate | 34.3% | #124 |
| #15 | 1.84 | Explosiveness | 1.88 | #12 |
| #115 | 8.8% | Sack Rate | 9.0% | #117 |
| #48 | +0.32 | Rush EPA | -0.10 | #113 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 85.7thWR | TK Keyes+16.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Eli Wood+33.2 | #23WR |
| 86.0thRB | Jaheim Merriweather+12.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Demick Starling+10.1 | 74.1thWR |
| 94.1thDB | Jabari Strait+7.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | David Kabongo+8.4 | 95.4thDB |
| 95.8thDL | Kavion Henderson+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Asher Cunningham+7.7 | 94.7thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#83 | 5 | 4★ Players | 3 | T-#96 |
| T-#95 | 49 | 3★ Players | 57 | T-#71 |
| Transfers | ||||
7 in · 14 out | OFF Transfers | 11 in · 6 out | ||
6 in · 11 out | DEF Transfers | 16 in · 3 out | ||
| 33% | OFF Returning | 68% | ||
| 30% | DEF Returning | 81% | ||