Mercyhurst logo
NEC0-30-3 ATS14
FINAL
ESPN+
New Mexico State logo
Conference USA2-43-3 ATS51
ODDS · CLOSING LINE
+29.5(-110)draftkings
SPREAD
-28.5(-110)bovada
TOTAL · 52
O 52(-110)bovadaU 52.5(-110)draftkings
+2200draftkings
MONEYLINENMSU 99%
-8000draftkings
Schedule
—SOS Played-0.11#124
—SOS Remaining—
OffenseNMSU 2025 final
—Adj. EPA / Play-0.30#135
—EPA / Play-0.10#133
—Yards / Play4.7#133
—Success Rate34.6%#129
Defense · allowed
—Adj. EPA / Play-0.06#58
—EPA / Play+0.04#33
—Yards / Play5.8#61
—Success Rate41.8%#61
Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods
Mercyhurst logoMERC OffensevsNew Mexico State logoNMSU Defense
—EPA / Pass+0.07#52
—EPA / Rush+0.01#25
—Available Yards %44.8%#57
—Starting Field Pos.Own 31#101
—Early Downs EPA-0.00#40
—3rd/4th Down Success40.8%#59
—Avg 3rd Down Distance6.4#122
Mercyhurst logoMERC DefensevsNew Mexico State logoNMSU Offense
—EPA / Pass-0.10#127
—EPA / Rush-0.09#134
—Available Yards %37.8%#118
—Starting Field Pos.Own 30#56
—Early Downs EPA-0.20#135
—3rd/4th Down Success40.9%#75
—Avg 3rd Down Distance7.7#121
Negative Plays · committedper game
—Sacks Taken2.9#120
—INTs Thrown1.4#132
—Fumbles Lost0.7T-#114
—Turnovers2.1T-#133
—Penalties6.0T-#67
—Penalty Yards52.1#62
Negative Plays · forcedper game
—Sacks1.4T-#114
—INTs1.3#11
—Fumbles Recovered0.7T-#23
—Takeaways2.0T-#7
—Penalties Drawn7.9#7
—Penalty Yds Drawn74.5#3
Record
0-0Last Year Record (2025)4-8T-#98
0-3Current Year ATS (2026)3-3T-#53
Coaching
—Head CoachTony Sanchez
—Seasons at School3T-#55
—Career Record27-57#117
Situation
—Rest7 days
1,608 miTravelHome
—QBTrey Hedden
—EPA / Att—
—Success Rate—
—Explosiveness—
—Sack Rate—
—Rush EPA—
—Last 8 · EPA / Att
Game Breakers
—Playmaker · PPA94.8thRB
—Playmaker · PPA#21TE
—Defender · Havoc EPA#14LB
—Defender · Havoc EPA#15DL
Recruiting
—5★ Players0T-#37
—4★ Players2T-#110
—3★ Players25#131
Transfers
—OFF Transfers
12 in · 12 out
—DEF Transfers
9 in · 11 out
—OFF Returning31%
—DEF Returning39%