+31(-110)
SPREAD
-30.5(-110)
TOTAL · 53.5
O 53.5(-110)U 53.5(-110)
U 53.5(-110)+2800
MONEYLINEFSU 98%
-6500
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #124 | -0.11 | SOS Played | +0.12 | #35 |
| — | SOS Remaining | — | ||
| OffenseNMSU 2025 final · FSU 2025 final | ||||
| #135 | -0.30 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.13 | #17 |
| #133 | -0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #26 |
| #133 | 4.7 | Yards / Play | 6.8 | #15 |
| #129 | 34.6% | Success Rate | 46.1% | #21 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #58 | -0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #53 |
| #33 | +0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #74 |
| #61 | 5.8 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #25 |
| #61 | 41.8% | Success Rate | 41.6% | #55 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| NMSU Offense | vs | FSU Defense | ||
| #127 | -0.10 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #79 |
| #134 | -0.09 | EPA / Rush | +0.08 | #61 |
| #118 | 37.8% | Available Yards % | 42.8% | #41 |
| #56 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #83 |
| #135 | -0.20 | Early Downs EPA | +0.04 | #59 |
| #75 | 40.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.9% | #82 |
| #121 | 7.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #112 |
| NMSU Defense | vs | FSU Offense | ||
| #52 | +0.07 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #49 |
| #25 | +0.01 | EPA / Rush | +0.22 | #14 |
| #57 | 44.8% | Available Yards % | 57.7% | #9 |
| #101 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #81 |
| #40 | -0.00 | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #44 |
| #59 | 40.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.5% | #14 |
| #122 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #56 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #120 | 2.9 | Sacks Taken | 2.1 | T-#85 |
| #132 | 1.4 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#71 |
| T-#114 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#124 |
| T-#133 | 2.1 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#107 |
| T-#67 | 6.0 | Penalties | 5.6 | T-#50 |
| #62 | 52.1 | Penalty Yards | 46.3 | #35 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#114 | 1.4 | Sacks | 2.5 | T-#28 |
| #11 | 1.3 | INTs | 0.9 | T-#52 |
| T-#23 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#124 |
| T-#7 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 1.1 | T-#88 |
| #7 | 7.9 | Penalties Drawn | 6.3 | T-#54 |
| #3 | 74.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 53.4 | #70 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#98 | 4-8 | Last Year Record (2025) | 5-7 | T-#83 |
| T-#53 | 3-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tony Sanchez | Head Coach | Mike Norvell | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#15 |
| #117 | 27-57 | Career Record | 76-50 | #49 |
| Situation | ||||
| — | Rest | — | ||
| 1,327 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Adam Damante | QB | — | ||
| #107 | +0.13 | EPA / Att | — | |
| #48 | 46.1% | Success Rate | — | |
| #123 | 1.29 | Explosiveness | — | |
| #89 | 5.6% | Sack Rate | — | |
| #115 | +0.03 | Rush EPA | — | |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | — | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.8thRB | James Jones+19.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Ousmane Kromah+20.0 | 94.9thRB |
| #21TE | Josiah Thomas+15.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Micahi Danzy+18.7 | 88.6thWR |
| #14LB | Sone Aupiu+11.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Rylan Kennedy+10.3 | T-#13DL |
| #15DL | Gabe Peterson+10.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mikai Gbayor+5.9 | 90.0thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#110 | 2 | 4★ Players | 28 | #22 |
| #131 | 25 | 3★ Players | 50 | T-#92 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 12 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 19 out | ||
9 in · 11 out | DEF Transfers | 8 in · 16 out | ||
| 31% | OFF Returning | 39% | ||
| 39% | DEF Returning | 49% | ||