Southern logo
SWAC0-10-1 ATS6
FINAL
ESPN+
TDECU StadiumHouston, TX
Houston logo
(#22)Houston
Big 125-13-3 ATS77
ODDS · CLOSING LINE
+52(-110)bovada
SPREAD
-51.5(-110)draftkings
TOTAL · 61.5
O 61.5(-110)draftkingsU 62(-110)bovada
—
MONEYLINE
—
Schedule
—SOS Played-0.07#64
—SOS Remaining-0.00#50
Offense
—Adj. EPA / Play+0.08#28
—EPA / Play+0.26#28
—Yards / Play7.7#16
—Success Rate47.2%#27
Defense · allowed
—Adj. EPA / Play-0.05#41
—EPA / Play+0.06#42
—Yards / Play5.5#43
—Success Rate41.1%T-#47
Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods
Southern logoSOU OffensevsHouston logoHOU Defense
—EPA / Pass+0.17#50
—EPA / Rush-0.21#16
—Available Yards %41.5%#38
—Starting Field Pos.Own 22#9
—Early Downs EPA+0.20#65
—3rd/4th Down Success30.0%#23
—Avg 3rd Down Distance7.4T-#31
Southern logoSOU DefensevsHouston logoHOU Offense
—EPA / Pass+0.41#24
—EPA / Rush+0.14#32
—Available Yards %66.5%#16
—Starting Field Pos.Own 30T-#39
—Early Downs EPA+0.12#38
—3rd/4th Down Success57.1%T-#12
—Avg 3rd Down Distance7.2#53
Negative Plays · committedper game
—Sacks Taken1.0T-#17
—INTs Thrown1.0T-#49
—Fumbles Lost1.0T-#56
—Turnovers2.0T-#65
—Penalties10.0T-#84
—Penalty Yards65.0T-#66
Negative Plays · forcedper game
—Sacks4.0T-#6
—INTs0.0T-#49
—Fumbles Recovered0.0T-#43
—Takeaways0.0T-#67
—Penalties Drawn5.0T-#59
—Penalty Yds Drawn42.0#60
Record
0-1Last Year Record (2025)10-3T-#17
0-1Current Year ATS (2026)3-3T-#53
Coaching
—Head CoachWillie Fritz
—Seasons at School3T-#55
—Career Record86-65#65
Situation
—Rest7 days
255 miTravelHome
—QBConner Weigman
—EPA / Att+0.52#41
—Success Rate56.7%#36
—Explosiveness1.71#38
—Sack Rate3.2%#57
—Rush EPA+0.41#46
—Last 8 · EPA / Att
Game Breakers
—Playmaker · PPA94.2thWR
—Playmaker · PPA#7TE
—Defender · Havoc EPAT-#22DB
—Defender · Havoc EPA97.5thDB
Recruiting
—5★ Players2T-#18
—4★ Players8T-#65
—3★ Players63T-#40
Transfers
—OFF Transfers
10 in · 10 out
—DEF Transfers
6 in · 6 out
—OFF Returning82%
—DEF Returning38%